Low-rank longitudinal factor regression with application to chemical mixtures

Fuente: arXiv
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Hauptverfasser: Palmer, Glenn, Herring, Amy H., Dunson, David B.
Format: Preprint
Veröffentlicht: 2023
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author Palmer, Glenn
Herring, Amy H.
Dunson, David B.
author_facet Palmer, Glenn
Herring, Amy H.
Dunson, David B.
contents Developmental epidemiology commonly focuses on assessing the association between multiple early life exposures and childhood health. Statistical analyses of data from such studies focus on inferring the contributions of individual exposures, while also characterizing time-varying and interacting effects. Such inferences are made more challenging by correlations among exposures, nonlinearity, and the curse of dimensionality. Motivated by studying the effects of prenatal bisphenol A (BPA) and phthalate exposures on glucose metabolism in adolescence using data from the ELEMENT study, we propose a low-rank longitudinal factor regression (LowFR) model for tractable inference on flexible longitudinal exposure effects. LowFR handles highly-correlated exposures using a Bayesian dynamic factor model, which is fit jointly with a health outcome via a novel factor regression approach. The model collapses on simpler and intuitive submodels when appropriate, while expanding to allow considerable flexibility in time-varying and interaction effects when supported by the data. After demonstrating LowFR's effectiveness in simulations, we use it to analyze the ELEMENT data and find that diethyl and dibutyl phthalate metabolite levels in trimesters 1 and 2 are associated with altered glucose metabolism in adolescence.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2311_16470
institution arXiv
publishDate 2023
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Low-rank longitudinal factor regression with application to chemical mixtures
Palmer, Glenn
Herring, Amy H.
Dunson, David B.
Applications
Developmental epidemiology commonly focuses on assessing the association between multiple early life exposures and childhood health. Statistical analyses of data from such studies focus on inferring the contributions of individual exposures, while also characterizing time-varying and interacting effects. Such inferences are made more challenging by correlations among exposures, nonlinearity, and the curse of dimensionality. Motivated by studying the effects of prenatal bisphenol A (BPA) and phthalate exposures on glucose metabolism in adolescence using data from the ELEMENT study, we propose a low-rank longitudinal factor regression (LowFR) model for tractable inference on flexible longitudinal exposure effects. LowFR handles highly-correlated exposures using a Bayesian dynamic factor model, which is fit jointly with a health outcome via a novel factor regression approach. The model collapses on simpler and intuitive submodels when appropriate, while expanding to allow considerable flexibility in time-varying and interaction effects when supported by the data. After demonstrating LowFR's effectiveness in simulations, we use it to analyze the ELEMENT data and find that diethyl and dibutyl phthalate metabolite levels in trimesters 1 and 2 are associated with altered glucose metabolism in adolescence.
title Low-rank longitudinal factor regression with application to chemical mixtures
topic Applications
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2311.16470