Adapting to climate change: Long-term impact of wind resource changes on China's power system resilience
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arXiv
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| Main Authors: | , , , , , , , , , , , , |
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| Format: | Preprint |
| Published: |
2023
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| _version_ | 1866929223010091008 |
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| author | Ruan, Jiaqi Meng, Xiangrui Zhu, Yifan Liang, Gaoqi Sun, Xianzhuo Wu, Huayi Xiao, Huijuan Lu, Mengqian Gao, Pin Li, Jiapeng Wong, Wai-Kin Xu, Zhao Zhao, Junhua |
| author_facet | Ruan, Jiaqi Meng, Xiangrui Zhu, Yifan Liang, Gaoqi Sun, Xianzhuo Wu, Huayi Xiao, Huijuan Lu, Mengqian Gao, Pin Li, Jiapeng Wong, Wai-Kin Xu, Zhao Zhao, Junhua |
| contents | Modern society's reliance on power systems is at risk from the escalating effects of wind-related climate change. Yet, failure to identify the intricate relationship between wind-related climate risks and power systems could lead to serious short- and long-term issues, including partial or complete blackouts. Here, we develop a comprehensive framework to assess China's power system resilience across various climate change scenarios, enabling a holistic evaluation of the repercussions induced by wind-related climate change. Our findings indicate that China's current wind projects and planning strategies could be jeopardized by wind-related climate change, with up to a 12\% decline in regional wind power availability. Moreover, our results underscore a pronounced vulnerability of power system resilience amidst the rigors of hastened climate change, unveiling a potential amplification of resilience deterioration, even approaching fourfold by 2060 under the most severe scenario, relative to the 2020 benchmark. This work advocates for strategic financial deployment within the power sector aimed at climate adaptation, enhancing power system resilience to avert profound losses from long-term, wind-influenced climatic fluctuations. |
| format | Preprint |
| id |
arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2311_16572 |
| institution | arXiv |
| publishDate | 2023 |
| record_format | arxiv |
| spellingShingle | Adapting to climate change: Long-term impact of wind resource changes on China's power system resilience Ruan, Jiaqi Meng, Xiangrui Zhu, Yifan Liang, Gaoqi Sun, Xianzhuo Wu, Huayi Xiao, Huijuan Lu, Mengqian Gao, Pin Li, Jiapeng Wong, Wai-Kin Xu, Zhao Zhao, Junhua Systems and Control Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics Physics and Society Modern society's reliance on power systems is at risk from the escalating effects of wind-related climate change. Yet, failure to identify the intricate relationship between wind-related climate risks and power systems could lead to serious short- and long-term issues, including partial or complete blackouts. Here, we develop a comprehensive framework to assess China's power system resilience across various climate change scenarios, enabling a holistic evaluation of the repercussions induced by wind-related climate change. Our findings indicate that China's current wind projects and planning strategies could be jeopardized by wind-related climate change, with up to a 12\% decline in regional wind power availability. Moreover, our results underscore a pronounced vulnerability of power system resilience amidst the rigors of hastened climate change, unveiling a potential amplification of resilience deterioration, even approaching fourfold by 2060 under the most severe scenario, relative to the 2020 benchmark. This work advocates for strategic financial deployment within the power sector aimed at climate adaptation, enhancing power system resilience to avert profound losses from long-term, wind-influenced climatic fluctuations. |
| title | Adapting to climate change: Long-term impact of wind resource changes on China's power system resilience |
| topic | Systems and Control Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics Physics and Society |
| url | https://arxiv.org/abs/2311.16572 |