PROSPECT: A profile likelihood code for frequentist cosmological parameter inference

Fuente: arXiv
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Main Authors: Holm, Emil Brinch, Nygaard, Andreas, Dakin, Jeppe, Hannestad, Steen, Tram, Thomas
Format: Preprint
Published: 2023
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author Holm, Emil Brinch
Nygaard, Andreas
Dakin, Jeppe
Hannestad, Steen
Tram, Thomas
author_facet Holm, Emil Brinch
Nygaard, Andreas
Dakin, Jeppe
Hannestad, Steen
Tram, Thomas
contents Cosmological parameter inference has been dominated by the Bayesian approach for the past two decades, primarily due to its computational efficiency. However, the Bayesian approach involves integration of the posterior probability and therefore depends on both the choice of model parametrisation and the choice of prior on the model parameter space. In some cases, this can lead to conclusions which are driven by choice of parametrisation and priors rather than by data. The profile likelihood method provides a complementary frequentist tool which can be used to investigate this effect. In this paper, we present the code PROSPECT for computing profile likelihoods in cosmology. We showcase the code using a phenomenological model for converting dark matter into dark radiation that suffers from large volume effects and prior dependence. PROSPECT is compatible with both cobaya and MontePython, and is publicly available at https://github.com/AarhusCosmology/prospect_public.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2312_02972
institution arXiv
publishDate 2023
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle PROSPECT: A profile likelihood code for frequentist cosmological parameter inference
Holm, Emil Brinch
Nygaard, Andreas
Dakin, Jeppe
Hannestad, Steen
Tram, Thomas
Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics
Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics
High Energy Physics - Phenomenology
Cosmological parameter inference has been dominated by the Bayesian approach for the past two decades, primarily due to its computational efficiency. However, the Bayesian approach involves integration of the posterior probability and therefore depends on both the choice of model parametrisation and the choice of prior on the model parameter space. In some cases, this can lead to conclusions which are driven by choice of parametrisation and priors rather than by data. The profile likelihood method provides a complementary frequentist tool which can be used to investigate this effect. In this paper, we present the code PROSPECT for computing profile likelihoods in cosmology. We showcase the code using a phenomenological model for converting dark matter into dark radiation that suffers from large volume effects and prior dependence. PROSPECT is compatible with both cobaya and MontePython, and is publicly available at https://github.com/AarhusCosmology/prospect_public.
title PROSPECT: A profile likelihood code for frequentist cosmological parameter inference
topic Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics
Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics
High Energy Physics - Phenomenology
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2312.02972