Wasserstein complexity penalization priors: a new class of penalizing complexity priors

Fuente: arXiv
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Autori principali: Bolin, David, Simas, Alexandre B., Xiong, Zhen
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2023
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author Bolin, David
Simas, Alexandre B.
Xiong, Zhen
author_facet Bolin, David
Simas, Alexandre B.
Xiong, Zhen
contents Penalizing complexity (PC) priors provide a principled framework for reducing model complexity by penalizing the Kullback--Leibler Divergence (KLD) between a ``simple'' base model and a more complex model. However, constructing priors by penalizing the KLD becomes impossible in many cases because the KLD is infinite, and alternative principles often lose interpretability in terms of KLD. We propose a new class of priors, the Wasserstein complexity penalization (WCP) priors, which replace the KLD with the Wasserstein distance in the PC prior framework. WCP priors avoid the issue of infinite model distances and retain interpretability by adhering to adjusted principles. Additionally, we introduce the concept of base measures, removing the parameter dependency on the base model, and extend the framework to joint WCP priors for multiple parameters. These priors can be constructed analytically and we have both analytical and numerical implementations in R programming language. We demonstrate their use in previous PC prior applications and as well as new multivariate settings.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2312_04481
institution arXiv
publishDate 2023
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Wasserstein complexity penalization priors: a new class of penalizing complexity priors
Bolin, David
Simas, Alexandre B.
Xiong, Zhen
Methodology
Penalizing complexity (PC) priors provide a principled framework for reducing model complexity by penalizing the Kullback--Leibler Divergence (KLD) between a ``simple'' base model and a more complex model. However, constructing priors by penalizing the KLD becomes impossible in many cases because the KLD is infinite, and alternative principles often lose interpretability in terms of KLD. We propose a new class of priors, the Wasserstein complexity penalization (WCP) priors, which replace the KLD with the Wasserstein distance in the PC prior framework. WCP priors avoid the issue of infinite model distances and retain interpretability by adhering to adjusted principles. Additionally, we introduce the concept of base measures, removing the parameter dependency on the base model, and extend the framework to joint WCP priors for multiple parameters. These priors can be constructed analytically and we have both analytical and numerical implementations in R programming language. We demonstrate their use in previous PC prior applications and as well as new multivariate settings.
title Wasserstein complexity penalization priors: a new class of penalizing complexity priors
topic Methodology
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2312.04481