Longitudinal prediction of DNA methylation to forecast epigenetic outcomes

Fuente: arXiv
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Autori principali: Leroy, Arthur, Teh, Ai Ling, Dondelinger, Frank, Alvarez, Mauricio A., Wang, Dennis
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2023
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author Leroy, Arthur
Teh, Ai Ling
Dondelinger, Frank
Alvarez, Mauricio A.
Wang, Dennis
author_facet Leroy, Arthur
Teh, Ai Ling
Dondelinger, Frank
Alvarez, Mauricio A.
Wang, Dennis
contents Interrogating the evolution of biological changes at early stages of life requires longitudinal profiling of molecules, such as DNA methylation, which can be challenging with children. We introduce a probabilistic and longitudinal machine learning framework based on multi-mean Gaussian processes (GPs), accounting for individual and gene correlations across time. This method provides future predictions of DNA methylation status at different individual ages while accounting for uncertainty. Our model is trained on a birth cohort of children with methylation profiled at ages 0-4, and we demonstrated that the status of methylation sites for each child can be accurately predicted at ages 5-7. We show that methylation profiles predicted by multi-mean GPs can be used to estimate other phenotypes, such as epigenetic age, and enable comparison to other health measures of interest. This approach encourages epigenetic studies to move towards longitudinal design for investigating epigenetic changes during development, ageing and disease progression.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2312_13302
institution arXiv
publishDate 2023
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Longitudinal prediction of DNA methylation to forecast epigenetic outcomes
Leroy, Arthur
Teh, Ai Ling
Dondelinger, Frank
Alvarez, Mauricio A.
Wang, Dennis
Genomics
Machine Learning
Applications
Interrogating the evolution of biological changes at early stages of life requires longitudinal profiling of molecules, such as DNA methylation, which can be challenging with children. We introduce a probabilistic and longitudinal machine learning framework based on multi-mean Gaussian processes (GPs), accounting for individual and gene correlations across time. This method provides future predictions of DNA methylation status at different individual ages while accounting for uncertainty. Our model is trained on a birth cohort of children with methylation profiled at ages 0-4, and we demonstrated that the status of methylation sites for each child can be accurately predicted at ages 5-7. We show that methylation profiles predicted by multi-mean GPs can be used to estimate other phenotypes, such as epigenetic age, and enable comparison to other health measures of interest. This approach encourages epigenetic studies to move towards longitudinal design for investigating epigenetic changes during development, ageing and disease progression.
title Longitudinal prediction of DNA methylation to forecast epigenetic outcomes
topic Genomics
Machine Learning
Applications
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2312.13302