Dynamics of Global Emission Permit Prices and Regional Social Cost of Carbon under Noncooperation

Fuente: arXiv
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Autori principali: Cai, Yongyang, Malik, Khyati, Shin, Hyeseon
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2023
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author Cai, Yongyang
Malik, Khyati
Shin, Hyeseon
author_facet Cai, Yongyang
Malik, Khyati
Shin, Hyeseon
contents We develop a dynamic multi-region climate-economy model with emissions trading and solve for the dynamic Nash equilibrium under noncooperation, where each region follows Paris Agreement-based emissions caps. The permit price reaches $923 per ton of carbon by 2050, and global temperature rises to 1.7 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels by 2100. The regional social cost of carbon equals the difference between regional marginal abatement cost and the permit price, highlighting complementarity between carbon taxes and trading. We find substantial heterogeneity in regional social costs of carbon, show that lax caps can raise emissions, and demonstrate strong free-rider incentives under partial participation.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2312_15563
institution arXiv
publishDate 2023
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Dynamics of Global Emission Permit Prices and Regional Social Cost of Carbon under Noncooperation
Cai, Yongyang
Malik, Khyati
Shin, Hyeseon
General Economics
Economics
We develop a dynamic multi-region climate-economy model with emissions trading and solve for the dynamic Nash equilibrium under noncooperation, where each region follows Paris Agreement-based emissions caps. The permit price reaches $923 per ton of carbon by 2050, and global temperature rises to 1.7 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels by 2100. The regional social cost of carbon equals the difference between regional marginal abatement cost and the permit price, highlighting complementarity between carbon taxes and trading. We find substantial heterogeneity in regional social costs of carbon, show that lax caps can raise emissions, and demonstrate strong free-rider incentives under partial participation.
title Dynamics of Global Emission Permit Prices and Regional Social Cost of Carbon under Noncooperation
topic General Economics
Economics
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2312.15563