AIRI: Predicting Retention Indices and their Uncertainties using Artificial Intelligence

Fuente: arXiv
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Autori principali: Geer, Lewis Y., Stein, Stephen E., Mallard, William Gary, Slotta, Douglas J.
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2024
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author Geer, Lewis Y.
Stein, Stephen E.
Mallard, William Gary
Slotta, Douglas J.
author_facet Geer, Lewis Y.
Stein, Stephen E.
Mallard, William Gary
Slotta, Douglas J.
contents The Kováts Retention index (RI) is a quantity measured using gas chromatography and commonly used in the identification of chemical structures. Creating libraries of observed RI values is a laborious task, so we explore the use of a deep neural network for predicting RI values from structure for standard semipolar columns. This network generated predictions with a mean absolute error of 15.1 and, in a quantification of the tail of the error distribution, a 95th percentile absolute error of 46.5. Because of the Artificial Intelligence Retention Indices (AIRI) network's accuracy, it was used to predict RI values for the NIST EI-MS spectral libraries. These RI values are used to improve chemical identification methods and the quality of the library. Estimating uncertainty is an important practical need when using prediction models. To quantify the uncertainty of our network for each individual prediction, we used the outputs of an ensemble of 8 networks to calculate a predicted standard deviation for each RI value prediction. This predicted standard deviation was corrected to follow the error between observed and predicted RI values. The Z scores using these predicted standard deviations had a standard deviation of 1.52 and a 95th percentile absolute Z score corresponding to a mean RI value of 42.6.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2401_01506
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle AIRI: Predicting Retention Indices and their Uncertainties using Artificial Intelligence
Geer, Lewis Y.
Stein, Stephen E.
Mallard, William Gary
Slotta, Douglas J.
Machine Learning
Quantitative Methods
The Kováts Retention index (RI) is a quantity measured using gas chromatography and commonly used in the identification of chemical structures. Creating libraries of observed RI values is a laborious task, so we explore the use of a deep neural network for predicting RI values from structure for standard semipolar columns. This network generated predictions with a mean absolute error of 15.1 and, in a quantification of the tail of the error distribution, a 95th percentile absolute error of 46.5. Because of the Artificial Intelligence Retention Indices (AIRI) network's accuracy, it was used to predict RI values for the NIST EI-MS spectral libraries. These RI values are used to improve chemical identification methods and the quality of the library. Estimating uncertainty is an important practical need when using prediction models. To quantify the uncertainty of our network for each individual prediction, we used the outputs of an ensemble of 8 networks to calculate a predicted standard deviation for each RI value prediction. This predicted standard deviation was corrected to follow the error between observed and predicted RI values. The Z scores using these predicted standard deviations had a standard deviation of 1.52 and a 95th percentile absolute Z score corresponding to a mean RI value of 42.6.
title AIRI: Predicting Retention Indices and their Uncertainties using Artificial Intelligence
topic Machine Learning
Quantitative Methods
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2401.01506