Model Averaging and Double Machine Learning

Fuente: arXiv
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Hauptverfasser: Ahrens, Achim, Hansen, Christian B., Schaffer, Mark E., Wiemann, Thomas
Format: Preprint
Veröffentlicht: 2024
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author Ahrens, Achim
Hansen, Christian B.
Schaffer, Mark E.
Wiemann, Thomas
author_facet Ahrens, Achim
Hansen, Christian B.
Schaffer, Mark E.
Wiemann, Thomas
contents This paper discusses pairing double/debiased machine learning (DDML) with stacking, a model averaging method for combining multiple candidate learners, to estimate structural parameters. In addition to conventional stacking, we consider two stacking variants available for DDML: short-stacking exploits the cross-fitting step of DDML to substantially reduce the computational burden and pooled stacking enforces common stacking weights over cross-fitting folds. Using calibrated simulation studies and two applications estimating gender gaps in citations and wages, we show that DDML with stacking is more robust to partially unknown functional forms than common alternative approaches based on single pre-selected learners. We provide Stata and R software implementing our proposals.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2401_01645
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Model Averaging and Double Machine Learning
Ahrens, Achim
Hansen, Christian B.
Schaffer, Mark E.
Wiemann, Thomas
Econometrics
Machine Learning
This paper discusses pairing double/debiased machine learning (DDML) with stacking, a model averaging method for combining multiple candidate learners, to estimate structural parameters. In addition to conventional stacking, we consider two stacking variants available for DDML: short-stacking exploits the cross-fitting step of DDML to substantially reduce the computational burden and pooled stacking enforces common stacking weights over cross-fitting folds. Using calibrated simulation studies and two applications estimating gender gaps in citations and wages, we show that DDML with stacking is more robust to partially unknown functional forms than common alternative approaches based on single pre-selected learners. We provide Stata and R software implementing our proposals.
title Model Averaging and Double Machine Learning
topic Econometrics
Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2401.01645