Towards a Machine Learning-Based Approach to Predict Space Object Density Distributions

Fuente: arXiv
Salvato in:
Dettagli Bibliografici
Autori principali: Rodriguez-Fernandez, Victor, Sarangerel, Sumiyajav, Siew, Peng Mun, Machuca, Pablo, Jang, Daniel, Linares, Richard
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2024
Soggetti:
Accesso online:
Tags: Aggiungi Tag
Nessun Tag, puoi essere il primo ad aggiungerne!!
_version_ 1866914635210293248
author Rodriguez-Fernandez, Victor
Sarangerel, Sumiyajav
Siew, Peng Mun
Machuca, Pablo
Jang, Daniel
Linares, Richard
author_facet Rodriguez-Fernandez, Victor
Sarangerel, Sumiyajav
Siew, Peng Mun
Machuca, Pablo
Jang, Daniel
Linares, Richard
contents With the rapid increase in the number of Anthropogenic Space Objects (ASOs), Low Earth Orbit (LEO) is facing significant congestion, thereby posing challenges to space operators and risking the viability of the space environment for varied uses. Current models for examining this evolution, while detailed, are computationally demanding. To address these issues, we propose a novel machine learning-based model, as an extension of the MIT Orbital Capacity Tool (MOCAT). This advanced model is designed to accelerate the propagation of ASO density distributions, and it is trained on hundreds of simulations generated by an established and accurate model of the space environment evolution. We study how different deep learning-based solutions can potentially be good candidates for ASO propagation and manage the high-dimensionality of the data. To assess the model's capabilities, we conduct experiments in long term forecasting scenarios (around 100 years), analyze how and why the performance degrades over time, and discuss potential solutions to make this solution better.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2401_04212
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Towards a Machine Learning-Based Approach to Predict Space Object Density Distributions
Rodriguez-Fernandez, Victor
Sarangerel, Sumiyajav
Siew, Peng Mun
Machuca, Pablo
Jang, Daniel
Linares, Richard
Space Physics
Machine Learning
With the rapid increase in the number of Anthropogenic Space Objects (ASOs), Low Earth Orbit (LEO) is facing significant congestion, thereby posing challenges to space operators and risking the viability of the space environment for varied uses. Current models for examining this evolution, while detailed, are computationally demanding. To address these issues, we propose a novel machine learning-based model, as an extension of the MIT Orbital Capacity Tool (MOCAT). This advanced model is designed to accelerate the propagation of ASO density distributions, and it is trained on hundreds of simulations generated by an established and accurate model of the space environment evolution. We study how different deep learning-based solutions can potentially be good candidates for ASO propagation and manage the high-dimensionality of the data. To assess the model's capabilities, we conduct experiments in long term forecasting scenarios (around 100 years), analyze how and why the performance degrades over time, and discuss potential solutions to make this solution better.
title Towards a Machine Learning-Based Approach to Predict Space Object Density Distributions
topic Space Physics
Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2401.04212