On a Discrete-Time Networked SIV Epidemic Model with Polar Opinion Dynamics

Fuente: arXiv
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Autores principales: Xu, Qiulin, Ishii, Hideaki
Formato: Preprint
Publicado: 2024
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author Xu, Qiulin
Ishii, Hideaki
author_facet Xu, Qiulin
Ishii, Hideaki
contents This paper studies novel epidemic spreading problems influenced by opinion evolution in social networks, where the opinions reflect the public health concerns. A coupled bilayer network is proposed, where the epidemics spread over several communities through a physical network layer while the opinions evolve over the same communities through a social network layer. The epidemic spreading process is described by a susceptible-infected-vigilant (SIV) model, which introduces opinion-dependent epidemic vigilance state compared with the classical epidemic models. The opinion process is modeled by a polar opinion dynamics model, which includes infection prevalence and human stubbornness into the opinion evolution. By introducing an opinion-dependent reproduction number, we analyze the stability of disease-free and endemic equilibria and derive sufficient conditions for their global asymptotic stability. We also discuss the mutual effects between epidemic eradication and opinion consensus, and the possibility of suppressing epidemic by intervening in the opinions or implementing public health strategies. Simulations are conducted to verify the theoretical results and demonstrate the feasibility of epidemic suppression.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2401_04556
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle On a Discrete-Time Networked SIV Epidemic Model with Polar Opinion Dynamics
Xu, Qiulin
Ishii, Hideaki
Physics and Society
Systems and Control
This paper studies novel epidemic spreading problems influenced by opinion evolution in social networks, where the opinions reflect the public health concerns. A coupled bilayer network is proposed, where the epidemics spread over several communities through a physical network layer while the opinions evolve over the same communities through a social network layer. The epidemic spreading process is described by a susceptible-infected-vigilant (SIV) model, which introduces opinion-dependent epidemic vigilance state compared with the classical epidemic models. The opinion process is modeled by a polar opinion dynamics model, which includes infection prevalence and human stubbornness into the opinion evolution. By introducing an opinion-dependent reproduction number, we analyze the stability of disease-free and endemic equilibria and derive sufficient conditions for their global asymptotic stability. We also discuss the mutual effects between epidemic eradication and opinion consensus, and the possibility of suppressing epidemic by intervening in the opinions or implementing public health strategies. Simulations are conducted to verify the theoretical results and demonstrate the feasibility of epidemic suppression.
title On a Discrete-Time Networked SIV Epidemic Model with Polar Opinion Dynamics
topic Physics and Society
Systems and Control
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2401.04556