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Autores principales: Zakrisson, Henning, Lindholm, Mathias
Formato: Preprint
Publicado: 2024
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Acceso en línea:https://arxiv.org/abs/2401.05982
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author Zakrisson, Henning
Lindholm, Mathias
author_facet Zakrisson, Henning
Lindholm, Mathias
contents The paper introduces a tree-based varying coefficient model (VCM) where the varying coefficients are modelled using the cyclic gradient boosting machine (CGBM) from Delong et al. (2023). Modelling the coefficient functions using a CGBM allows for dimension-wise early stopping and feature importance scores. The dimension-wise early stopping not only reduces the risk of dimension-specific overfitting, but also reveals differences in model complexity across dimensions. The use of feature importance scores allows for simple feature selection and easy model interpretation. The model is evaluated on the same simulated and real data examples as those used in Richman and Wüthrich (2023), and the results show that it produces results in terms of out of sample loss that are comparable to those of their neural network-based VCM called LocalGLMnet.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2401_05982
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle A tree-based varying coefficient model
Zakrisson, Henning
Lindholm, Mathias
Machine Learning
The paper introduces a tree-based varying coefficient model (VCM) where the varying coefficients are modelled using the cyclic gradient boosting machine (CGBM) from Delong et al. (2023). Modelling the coefficient functions using a CGBM allows for dimension-wise early stopping and feature importance scores. The dimension-wise early stopping not only reduces the risk of dimension-specific overfitting, but also reveals differences in model complexity across dimensions. The use of feature importance scores allows for simple feature selection and easy model interpretation. The model is evaluated on the same simulated and real data examples as those used in Richman and Wüthrich (2023), and the results show that it produces results in terms of out of sample loss that are comparable to those of their neural network-based VCM called LocalGLMnet.
title A tree-based varying coefficient model
topic Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2401.05982