Probabilistic Richardson Extrapolation

Fuente: arXiv
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Auteurs principaux: Oates, Chris. J., Karvonen, Toni, Teckentrup, Aretha L., Strocchi, Marina, Niederer, Steven A.
Format: Preprint
Publié: 2024
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author Oates, Chris. J.
Karvonen, Toni
Teckentrup, Aretha L.
Strocchi, Marina
Niederer, Steven A.
author_facet Oates, Chris. J.
Karvonen, Toni
Teckentrup, Aretha L.
Strocchi, Marina
Niederer, Steven A.
contents For over a century, extrapolation methods have provided a powerful tool to improve the convergence order of a numerical method. However, these tools are not well-suited to modern computer codes, where multiple continua are discretised and convergence orders are not easily analysed. To address this challenge we present a probabilistic perspective on Richardson extrapolation, a point of view that unifies classical extrapolation methods with modern multi-fidelity modelling, and handles uncertain convergence orders by allowing these to be statistically estimated. The approach is developed using Gaussian processes, leading to Gauss-Richardson Extrapolation (GRE). Conditions are established under which extrapolation using the conditional mean achieves a polynomial (or even an exponential) speed-up compared to the original numerical method. Further, the probabilistic formulation unlocks the possibility of experimental design, casting the selection of fidelities as a continuous optimisation problem which can then be (approximately) solved. A case-study involving a computational cardiac model demonstrates that practical gains in accuracy can be achieved using the GRE method.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2401_07562
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Probabilistic Richardson Extrapolation
Oates, Chris. J.
Karvonen, Toni
Teckentrup, Aretha L.
Strocchi, Marina
Niederer, Steven A.
Methodology
Numerical Analysis
Computation
For over a century, extrapolation methods have provided a powerful tool to improve the convergence order of a numerical method. However, these tools are not well-suited to modern computer codes, where multiple continua are discretised and convergence orders are not easily analysed. To address this challenge we present a probabilistic perspective on Richardson extrapolation, a point of view that unifies classical extrapolation methods with modern multi-fidelity modelling, and handles uncertain convergence orders by allowing these to be statistically estimated. The approach is developed using Gaussian processes, leading to Gauss-Richardson Extrapolation (GRE). Conditions are established under which extrapolation using the conditional mean achieves a polynomial (or even an exponential) speed-up compared to the original numerical method. Further, the probabilistic formulation unlocks the possibility of experimental design, casting the selection of fidelities as a continuous optimisation problem which can then be (approximately) solved. A case-study involving a computational cardiac model demonstrates that practical gains in accuracy can be achieved using the GRE method.
title Probabilistic Richardson Extrapolation
topic Methodology
Numerical Analysis
Computation
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2401.07562