Confounded Budgeted Causal Bandits

Fuente: arXiv
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Autores principales: Jamshidi, Fateme, Etesami, Jalal, Kiyavash, Negar
Formato: Preprint
Publicado: 2024
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author Jamshidi, Fateme
Etesami, Jalal
Kiyavash, Negar
author_facet Jamshidi, Fateme
Etesami, Jalal
Kiyavash, Negar
contents We study the problem of learning 'good' interventions in a stochastic environment modeled by its underlying causal graph. Good interventions refer to interventions that maximize rewards. Specifically, we consider the setting of a pre-specified budget constraint, where interventions can have non-uniform costs. We show that this problem can be formulated as maximizing the expected reward for a stochastic multi-armed bandit with side information. We propose an algorithm to minimize the cumulative regret in general causal graphs. This algorithm trades off observations and interventions based on their costs to achieve the optimal reward. This algorithm generalizes the state-of-the-art methods by allowing non-uniform costs and hidden confounders in the causal graph. Furthermore, we develop an algorithm to minimize the simple regret in the budgeted setting with non-uniform costs and also general causal graphs. We provide theoretical guarantees, including both upper and lower bounds, as well as empirical evaluations of our algorithms. Our empirical results showcase that our algorithms outperform the state of the art.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2401_07578
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Confounded Budgeted Causal Bandits
Jamshidi, Fateme
Etesami, Jalal
Kiyavash, Negar
Machine Learning
We study the problem of learning 'good' interventions in a stochastic environment modeled by its underlying causal graph. Good interventions refer to interventions that maximize rewards. Specifically, we consider the setting of a pre-specified budget constraint, where interventions can have non-uniform costs. We show that this problem can be formulated as maximizing the expected reward for a stochastic multi-armed bandit with side information. We propose an algorithm to minimize the cumulative regret in general causal graphs. This algorithm trades off observations and interventions based on their costs to achieve the optimal reward. This algorithm generalizes the state-of-the-art methods by allowing non-uniform costs and hidden confounders in the causal graph. Furthermore, we develop an algorithm to minimize the simple regret in the budgeted setting with non-uniform costs and also general causal graphs. We provide theoretical guarantees, including both upper and lower bounds, as well as empirical evaluations of our algorithms. Our empirical results showcase that our algorithms outperform the state of the art.
title Confounded Budgeted Causal Bandits
topic Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2401.07578