Prediction problem for continuous time stochastic processes with periodically correlated increments observed with noise

Fuente: arXiv
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Autores principales: Luz, Maksym, Moklyachuk, Mikhail
Formato: Preprint
Publicado: 2023
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author Luz, Maksym
Moklyachuk, Mikhail
author_facet Luz, Maksym
Moklyachuk, Mikhail
contents We propose solution of the problem of the mean square optimal estimation of linear functionals which depend on the unobserved values of a continuous time stochastic process with periodically correlated increments based on observations of this process with periodically stationary noise. To solve the problem, we transform the processes to the sequences of stochastic functions which form an infinite dimensional vector stationary sequences. In the case of known spectral densities of these sequences, we obtain formulas for calculating values of the mean square errors and the spectral characteristics of the optimal estimates of the functionals. Formulas determining the least favorable spectral densities and the minimax (robust) spectral characteristics of the optimal linear estimates of functionals are derived in the case where the sets of admissible spectral densities are given.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2401_08642
institution arXiv
publishDate 2023
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Prediction problem for continuous time stochastic processes with periodically correlated increments observed with noise
Luz, Maksym
Moklyachuk, Mikhail
Statistics Theory
60G10, 60G25, 60G35, 62M20, 62P20, 93E10, 93E11
We propose solution of the problem of the mean square optimal estimation of linear functionals which depend on the unobserved values of a continuous time stochastic process with periodically correlated increments based on observations of this process with periodically stationary noise. To solve the problem, we transform the processes to the sequences of stochastic functions which form an infinite dimensional vector stationary sequences. In the case of known spectral densities of these sequences, we obtain formulas for calculating values of the mean square errors and the spectral characteristics of the optimal estimates of the functionals. Formulas determining the least favorable spectral densities and the minimax (robust) spectral characteristics of the optimal linear estimates of functionals are derived in the case where the sets of admissible spectral densities are given.
title Prediction problem for continuous time stochastic processes with periodically correlated increments observed with noise
topic Statistics Theory
60G10, 60G25, 60G35, 62M20, 62P20, 93E10, 93E11
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2401.08642