Precipitation Prediction Using an Ensemble of Lightweight Learners

Fuente: arXiv
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Auteurs principaux: Li, Xinzhe, Rui, Sun, Niu, Yiming, Liu, Yao
Format: Preprint
Publié: 2023
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author Li, Xinzhe
Rui, Sun
Niu, Yiming
Liu, Yao
author_facet Li, Xinzhe
Rui, Sun
Niu, Yiming
Liu, Yao
contents Precipitation prediction plays a crucial role in modern agriculture and industry. However, it poses significant challenges due to the diverse patterns and dynamics in time and space, as well as the scarcity of high precipitation events. To address this challenge, we propose an ensemble learning framework that leverages multiple learners to capture the diverse patterns of precipitation distribution. Specifically, the framework consists of a precipitation predictor with multiple lightweight heads (learners) and a controller that combines the outputs from these heads. The learners and the controller are separately optimized with a proposed 3-stage training scheme. By utilizing provided satellite images, the proposed approach can effectively model the intricate rainfall patterns, especially for high precipitation events. It achieved 1st place on the core test as well as the nowcasting leaderboards of the Weather4Cast 2023 competition. For detailed implementation, please refer to our GitHub repository at: https://github.com/lxz1217/weather4cast-2023-lxz.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2401_09424
institution arXiv
publishDate 2023
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Precipitation Prediction Using an Ensemble of Lightweight Learners
Li, Xinzhe
Rui, Sun
Niu, Yiming
Liu, Yao
Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics
Artificial Intelligence
Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition
Machine Learning
Precipitation prediction plays a crucial role in modern agriculture and industry. However, it poses significant challenges due to the diverse patterns and dynamics in time and space, as well as the scarcity of high precipitation events. To address this challenge, we propose an ensemble learning framework that leverages multiple learners to capture the diverse patterns of precipitation distribution. Specifically, the framework consists of a precipitation predictor with multiple lightweight heads (learners) and a controller that combines the outputs from these heads. The learners and the controller are separately optimized with a proposed 3-stage training scheme. By utilizing provided satellite images, the proposed approach can effectively model the intricate rainfall patterns, especially for high precipitation events. It achieved 1st place on the core test as well as the nowcasting leaderboards of the Weather4Cast 2023 competition. For detailed implementation, please refer to our GitHub repository at: https://github.com/lxz1217/weather4cast-2023-lxz.
title Precipitation Prediction Using an Ensemble of Lightweight Learners
topic Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics
Artificial Intelligence
Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition
Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2401.09424