Beyond RMSE and MAE: Introducing EAUC to unmask hidden bias and unfairness in dyadic regression models

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Hauptverfasser: Paz-Ruza, Jorge, Alonso-Betanzos, Amparo, Guijarro-Berdiñas, Bertha, Cancela, Brais, Eiras-Franco, Carlos
Format: Preprint
Veröffentlicht: 2024
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author Paz-Ruza, Jorge
Alonso-Betanzos, Amparo
Guijarro-Berdiñas, Bertha
Cancela, Brais
Eiras-Franco, Carlos
author_facet Paz-Ruza, Jorge
Alonso-Betanzos, Amparo
Guijarro-Berdiñas, Bertha
Cancela, Brais
Eiras-Franco, Carlos
contents Dyadic regression models, which output real-valued predictions for pairs of entities, are fundamental in many domains (e.g. obtaining user-product ratings in Recommender Systems) and promising and under exploration in others (e.g. tuning patient-drug dosages in precision pharmacology). In this work, we prove that non-uniform observed value distributions of individual entities lead to severe biases in state-of-the-art models, skewing predictions towards the average of observed past values for the entity and providing worse-than-random predictive power in eccentric yet crucial cases; we name this phenomenon eccentricity bias. We show that global error metrics like Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE) are insufficient to capture this bias, and we introduce Eccentricity-Area Under the Curve (EAUC) as a novel metric that can quantify it in all studied domains and models. We prove the intuitive interpretation of EAUC by experimenting with naive post-training bias corrections, and theorize other options to use EAUC to guide the construction of fair models. This work contributes a bias-aware evaluation of dyadic regression to prevent unfairness in critical real-world applications of such systems.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2401_10690
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Beyond RMSE and MAE: Introducing EAUC to unmask hidden bias and unfairness in dyadic regression models
Paz-Ruza, Jorge
Alonso-Betanzos, Amparo
Guijarro-Berdiñas, Bertha
Cancela, Brais
Eiras-Franco, Carlos
Machine Learning
Artificial Intelligence
Information Retrieval
Dyadic regression models, which output real-valued predictions for pairs of entities, are fundamental in many domains (e.g. obtaining user-product ratings in Recommender Systems) and promising and under exploration in others (e.g. tuning patient-drug dosages in precision pharmacology). In this work, we prove that non-uniform observed value distributions of individual entities lead to severe biases in state-of-the-art models, skewing predictions towards the average of observed past values for the entity and providing worse-than-random predictive power in eccentric yet crucial cases; we name this phenomenon eccentricity bias. We show that global error metrics like Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE) are insufficient to capture this bias, and we introduce Eccentricity-Area Under the Curve (EAUC) as a novel metric that can quantify it in all studied domains and models. We prove the intuitive interpretation of EAUC by experimenting with naive post-training bias corrections, and theorize other options to use EAUC to guide the construction of fair models. This work contributes a bias-aware evaluation of dyadic regression to prevent unfairness in critical real-world applications of such systems.
title Beyond RMSE and MAE: Introducing EAUC to unmask hidden bias and unfairness in dyadic regression models
topic Machine Learning
Artificial Intelligence
Information Retrieval
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2401.10690