Long-term Effects of India's Childhood Immunization Program on Earnings and Consumption Expenditure: Comment

Fuente: arXiv
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Main Author: Roodman, David
Format: Preprint
Published: 2024
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author Roodman, David
author_facet Roodman, David
contents Summan, Nandi, and Bloom (2023), hereafter SNB, find that exposure during infancy to India's Universal Immunization Programme (UIP) increased wages and per-capita household expenditure in early adulthood. SNB regress these outcomes on a treatment indicator that depends upon year and district of birth while controlling for age at follow-up. Because year of birth and age are nearly collinear, SNB's identifying variation does not come from the staggered introduction of the UIP, but rather from the progression of time during the follow-up period. Within the 12-month follow-up period, those interviewed later were more likely to have been treated and, on average, reported higher wages and household expenditure. Wages and household expenditure, however, rose by at least as much in a control group composed of people too old to have been exposed as infants to the UIP as in the treated group. SNB's results are best explained by inflation, economic growth, and non-random survey sequencing during the follow-up survey period.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2401_11100
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Long-term Effects of India's Childhood Immunization Program on Earnings and Consumption Expenditure: Comment
Roodman, David
General Economics
Economics
Summan, Nandi, and Bloom (2023), hereafter SNB, find that exposure during infancy to India's Universal Immunization Programme (UIP) increased wages and per-capita household expenditure in early adulthood. SNB regress these outcomes on a treatment indicator that depends upon year and district of birth while controlling for age at follow-up. Because year of birth and age are nearly collinear, SNB's identifying variation does not come from the staggered introduction of the UIP, but rather from the progression of time during the follow-up period. Within the 12-month follow-up period, those interviewed later were more likely to have been treated and, on average, reported higher wages and household expenditure. Wages and household expenditure, however, rose by at least as much in a control group composed of people too old to have been exposed as infants to the UIP as in the treated group. SNB's results are best explained by inflation, economic growth, and non-random survey sequencing during the follow-up survey period.
title Long-term Effects of India's Childhood Immunization Program on Earnings and Consumption Expenditure: Comment
topic General Economics
Economics
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2401.11100