Bayesian Semi-structured Subspace Inference

Fuente: arXiv
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Autori principali: Dold, Daniel, Rügamer, David, Sick, Beate, Dürr, Oliver
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2024
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author Dold, Daniel
Rügamer, David
Sick, Beate
Dürr, Oliver
author_facet Dold, Daniel
Rügamer, David
Sick, Beate
Dürr, Oliver
contents Semi-structured regression models enable the joint modeling of interpretable structured and complex unstructured feature effects. The structured model part is inspired by statistical models and can be used to infer the input-output relationship for features of particular importance. The complex unstructured part defines an arbitrary deep neural network and thereby provides enough flexibility to achieve competitive prediction performance. While these models can also account for aleatoric uncertainty, there is still a lack of work on accounting for epistemic uncertainty. In this paper, we address this problem by presenting a Bayesian approximation for semi-structured regression models using subspace inference. To this end, we extend subspace inference for joint posterior sampling from a full parameter space for structured effects and a subspace for unstructured effects. Apart from this hybrid sampling scheme, our method allows for tunable complexity of the subspace and can capture multiple minima in the loss landscape. Numerical experiments validate our approach's efficacy in recovering structured effect parameter posteriors in semi-structured models and approaching the full-space posterior distribution of MCMC for increasing subspace dimension. Further, our approach exhibits competitive predictive performance across simulated and real-world datasets.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2401_12950
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Bayesian Semi-structured Subspace Inference
Dold, Daniel
Rügamer, David
Sick, Beate
Dürr, Oliver
Machine Learning
Semi-structured regression models enable the joint modeling of interpretable structured and complex unstructured feature effects. The structured model part is inspired by statistical models and can be used to infer the input-output relationship for features of particular importance. The complex unstructured part defines an arbitrary deep neural network and thereby provides enough flexibility to achieve competitive prediction performance. While these models can also account for aleatoric uncertainty, there is still a lack of work on accounting for epistemic uncertainty. In this paper, we address this problem by presenting a Bayesian approximation for semi-structured regression models using subspace inference. To this end, we extend subspace inference for joint posterior sampling from a full parameter space for structured effects and a subspace for unstructured effects. Apart from this hybrid sampling scheme, our method allows for tunable complexity of the subspace and can capture multiple minima in the loss landscape. Numerical experiments validate our approach's efficacy in recovering structured effect parameter posteriors in semi-structured models and approaching the full-space posterior distribution of MCMC for increasing subspace dimension. Further, our approach exhibits competitive predictive performance across simulated and real-world datasets.
title Bayesian Semi-structured Subspace Inference
topic Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2401.12950