Location Agnostic Source-Free Domain Adaptive Learning to Predict Solar Power Generation

Fuente: arXiv
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Auteurs principaux: Islam, Md Shazid, Hasan, A S M Jahid, Rahman, Md Saydur, Yusuf, Jubair, Sajol, Md Saiful Islam, Tumpa, Farhana Akter
Format: Preprint
Publié: 2024
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author Islam, Md Shazid
Hasan, A S M Jahid
Rahman, Md Saydur
Yusuf, Jubair
Sajol, Md Saiful Islam
Tumpa, Farhana Akter
author_facet Islam, Md Shazid
Hasan, A S M Jahid
Rahman, Md Saydur
Yusuf, Jubair
Sajol, Md Saiful Islam
Tumpa, Farhana Akter
contents The prediction of solar power generation is a challenging task due to its dependence on climatic characteristics that exhibit spatial and temporal variability. The performance of a prediction model may vary across different places due to changes in data distribution, resulting in a model that works well in one region but not in others. Furthermore, as a consequence of global warming, there is a notable acceleration in the alteration of weather patterns on an annual basis. This phenomenon introduces the potential for diminished efficacy of existing models, even within the same geographical region, as time progresses. In this paper, a domain adaptive deep learning-based framework is proposed to estimate solar power generation using weather features that can solve the aforementioned challenges. A feed-forward deep convolutional network model is trained for a known location dataset in a supervised manner and utilized to predict the solar power of an unknown location later. This adaptive data-driven approach exhibits notable advantages in terms of computing speed, storage efficiency, and its ability to improve outcomes in scenarios where state-of-the-art non-adaptive methods fail. Our method has shown an improvement of $10.47 \%$, $7.44 \%$, $5.11\%$ in solar power prediction accuracy compared to best performing non-adaptive method for California (CA), Florida (FL) and New York (NY), respectively.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2401_14422
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Location Agnostic Source-Free Domain Adaptive Learning to Predict Solar Power Generation
Islam, Md Shazid
Hasan, A S M Jahid
Rahman, Md Saydur
Yusuf, Jubair
Sajol, Md Saiful Islam
Tumpa, Farhana Akter
Machine Learning
The prediction of solar power generation is a challenging task due to its dependence on climatic characteristics that exhibit spatial and temporal variability. The performance of a prediction model may vary across different places due to changes in data distribution, resulting in a model that works well in one region but not in others. Furthermore, as a consequence of global warming, there is a notable acceleration in the alteration of weather patterns on an annual basis. This phenomenon introduces the potential for diminished efficacy of existing models, even within the same geographical region, as time progresses. In this paper, a domain adaptive deep learning-based framework is proposed to estimate solar power generation using weather features that can solve the aforementioned challenges. A feed-forward deep convolutional network model is trained for a known location dataset in a supervised manner and utilized to predict the solar power of an unknown location later. This adaptive data-driven approach exhibits notable advantages in terms of computing speed, storage efficiency, and its ability to improve outcomes in scenarios where state-of-the-art non-adaptive methods fail. Our method has shown an improvement of $10.47 \%$, $7.44 \%$, $5.11\%$ in solar power prediction accuracy compared to best performing non-adaptive method for California (CA), Florida (FL) and New York (NY), respectively.
title Location Agnostic Source-Free Domain Adaptive Learning to Predict Solar Power Generation
topic Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2401.14422