STEMFold: Stochastic Temporal Manifold for Multi-Agent Interactions in the Presence of Hidden Agents

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Hauptverfasser: Kumawat, Hemant, Chakraborty, Biswadeep, Mukhopadhyay, Saibal
Format: Preprint
Veröffentlicht: 2024
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author Kumawat, Hemant
Chakraborty, Biswadeep
Mukhopadhyay, Saibal
author_facet Kumawat, Hemant
Chakraborty, Biswadeep
Mukhopadhyay, Saibal
contents Learning accurate, data-driven predictive models for multiple interacting agents following unknown dynamics is crucial in many real-world physical and social systems. In many scenarios, dynamics prediction must be performed under incomplete observations, i.e., only a subset of agents are known and observable from a larger topological system while the behaviors of the unobserved agents and their interactions with the observed agents are not known. When only incomplete observations of a dynamical system are available, so that some states remain hidden, it is generally not possible to learn a closed-form model in these variables using either analytic or data-driven techniques. In this work, we propose STEMFold, a spatiotemporal attention-based generative model, to learn a stochastic manifold to predict the underlying unmeasured dynamics of the multi-agent system from observations of only visible agents. Our analytical results motivate STEMFold design using a spatiotemporal graph with time anchors to effectively map the observations of visible agents to a stochastic manifold with no prior information about interaction graph topology. We empirically evaluated our method on two simulations and two real-world datasets, where it outperformed existing networks in predicting complex multiagent interactions, even with many unobserved agents.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2401_14522
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle STEMFold: Stochastic Temporal Manifold for Multi-Agent Interactions in the Presence of Hidden Agents
Kumawat, Hemant
Chakraborty, Biswadeep
Mukhopadhyay, Saibal
Multiagent Systems
Learning accurate, data-driven predictive models for multiple interacting agents following unknown dynamics is crucial in many real-world physical and social systems. In many scenarios, dynamics prediction must be performed under incomplete observations, i.e., only a subset of agents are known and observable from a larger topological system while the behaviors of the unobserved agents and their interactions with the observed agents are not known. When only incomplete observations of a dynamical system are available, so that some states remain hidden, it is generally not possible to learn a closed-form model in these variables using either analytic or data-driven techniques. In this work, we propose STEMFold, a spatiotemporal attention-based generative model, to learn a stochastic manifold to predict the underlying unmeasured dynamics of the multi-agent system from observations of only visible agents. Our analytical results motivate STEMFold design using a spatiotemporal graph with time anchors to effectively map the observations of visible agents to a stochastic manifold with no prior information about interaction graph topology. We empirically evaluated our method on two simulations and two real-world datasets, where it outperformed existing networks in predicting complex multiagent interactions, even with many unobserved agents.
title STEMFold: Stochastic Temporal Manifold for Multi-Agent Interactions in the Presence of Hidden Agents
topic Multiagent Systems
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2401.14522