A Benchmark Dataset for Tornado Detection and Prediction using Full-Resolution Polarimetric Weather Radar Data

Fuente: arXiv
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Autores principales: Veillette, Mark S., Kurdzo, James M., Stepanian, Phillip M., Cho, John Y. N., Samsi, Siddharth, McDonald, Joseph
Formato: Preprint
Publicado: 2024
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author Veillette, Mark S.
Kurdzo, James M.
Stepanian, Phillip M.
Cho, John Y. N.
Samsi, Siddharth
McDonald, Joseph
author_facet Veillette, Mark S.
Kurdzo, James M.
Stepanian, Phillip M.
Cho, John Y. N.
Samsi, Siddharth
McDonald, Joseph
contents Weather radar is the primary tool used by forecasters to detect and warn for tornadoes in near-real time. In order to assist forecasters in warning the public, several algorithms have been developed to automatically detect tornadic signatures in weather radar observations. Recently, Machine Learning (ML) algorithms, which learn directly from large amounts of labeled data, have been shown to be highly effective for this purpose. Since tornadoes are extremely rare events within the corpus of all available radar observations, the selection and design of training datasets for ML applications is critical for the performance, robustness, and ultimate acceptance of ML algorithms. This study introduces a new benchmark dataset, TorNet to support development of ML algorithms in tornado detection and prediction. TorNet contains full-resolution, polarimetric, Level-II WSR-88D data sampled from 10 years of reported storm events. A number of ML baselines for tornado detection are developed and compared, including a novel deep learning (DL) architecture capable of processing raw radar imagery without the need for manual feature extraction required for existing ML algorithms. Despite not benefiting from manual feature engineering or other preprocessing, the DL model shows increased detection performance compared to non-DL and operational baselines. The TorNet dataset, as well as source code and model weights of the DL baseline trained in this work, are made freely available.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2401_16437
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle A Benchmark Dataset for Tornado Detection and Prediction using Full-Resolution Polarimetric Weather Radar Data
Veillette, Mark S.
Kurdzo, James M.
Stepanian, Phillip M.
Cho, John Y. N.
Samsi, Siddharth
McDonald, Joseph
Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics
Machine Learning
Weather radar is the primary tool used by forecasters to detect and warn for tornadoes in near-real time. In order to assist forecasters in warning the public, several algorithms have been developed to automatically detect tornadic signatures in weather radar observations. Recently, Machine Learning (ML) algorithms, which learn directly from large amounts of labeled data, have been shown to be highly effective for this purpose. Since tornadoes are extremely rare events within the corpus of all available radar observations, the selection and design of training datasets for ML applications is critical for the performance, robustness, and ultimate acceptance of ML algorithms. This study introduces a new benchmark dataset, TorNet to support development of ML algorithms in tornado detection and prediction. TorNet contains full-resolution, polarimetric, Level-II WSR-88D data sampled from 10 years of reported storm events. A number of ML baselines for tornado detection are developed and compared, including a novel deep learning (DL) architecture capable of processing raw radar imagery without the need for manual feature extraction required for existing ML algorithms. Despite not benefiting from manual feature engineering or other preprocessing, the DL model shows increased detection performance compared to non-DL and operational baselines. The TorNet dataset, as well as source code and model weights of the DL baseline trained in this work, are made freely available.
title A Benchmark Dataset for Tornado Detection and Prediction using Full-Resolution Polarimetric Weather Radar Data
topic Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics
Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2401.16437