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Main Authors: Chuang, Gabriel, Herschlag, Gregory, Mattingly, Jonathan C.
Format: Preprint
Published: 2024
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Online Access:https://arxiv.org/abs/2401.17455
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author Chuang, Gabriel
Herschlag, Gregory
Mattingly, Jonathan C.
author_facet Chuang, Gabriel
Herschlag, Gregory
Mattingly, Jonathan C.
contents When auditing a redistricting plan, a persuasive method is to compare the plan with an ensemble of neutrally drawn redistricting plans. Ensembles are generated via algorithms that sample distributions on balanced graph partitions. To audit the partisan difference between the ensemble and a given plan, one must ensure that the non-partisan criteria are matched so that we may conclude that partisan differences come from bias rather than, for example, levels of compactness or differences in community preservation. Certain sampling algorithms allow one to explicitly state the policy-based probability distribution on plans, however, these algorithms have shown poor mixing times for large graphs (i.e. redistricting spaces) for all but a few specialized measures. In this work, we generate a multiscale parallel tempering approach that makes local moves at each scale. The local moves allow us to adopt a wide variety of policy-based measures. We examine our method in the state of Connecticut and succeed at achieving fast mixing on a policy-based distribution that has never before been sampled at this scale. Our algorithm shows promise to expand to a significantly wider class of measures that will (i) allow for more principled and situation-based comparisons and (ii) probe for the typical partisan impact that policy can have on redistricting.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2401_17455
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Multiscale Parallel Tempering for Fast Sampling on Redistricting Plans
Chuang, Gabriel
Herschlag, Gregory
Mattingly, Jonathan C.
Physics and Society
Artificial Intelligence
Social and Information Networks
Probability
60J10, 91G60
G.3.8; E.1.3
When auditing a redistricting plan, a persuasive method is to compare the plan with an ensemble of neutrally drawn redistricting plans. Ensembles are generated via algorithms that sample distributions on balanced graph partitions. To audit the partisan difference between the ensemble and a given plan, one must ensure that the non-partisan criteria are matched so that we may conclude that partisan differences come from bias rather than, for example, levels of compactness or differences in community preservation. Certain sampling algorithms allow one to explicitly state the policy-based probability distribution on plans, however, these algorithms have shown poor mixing times for large graphs (i.e. redistricting spaces) for all but a few specialized measures. In this work, we generate a multiscale parallel tempering approach that makes local moves at each scale. The local moves allow us to adopt a wide variety of policy-based measures. We examine our method in the state of Connecticut and succeed at achieving fast mixing on a policy-based distribution that has never before been sampled at this scale. Our algorithm shows promise to expand to a significantly wider class of measures that will (i) allow for more principled and situation-based comparisons and (ii) probe for the typical partisan impact that policy can have on redistricting.
title Multiscale Parallel Tempering for Fast Sampling on Redistricting Plans
topic Physics and Society
Artificial Intelligence
Social and Information Networks
Probability
60J10, 91G60
G.3.8; E.1.3
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2401.17455