Causal inference under transportability assumptions for conditional relative effect measures

Fuente: arXiv
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Autori principali: Wang, Guanbo, Levis, Alexander, Steingrimsson, Jon, Dahabreh, Issa
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2024
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author Wang, Guanbo
Levis, Alexander
Steingrimsson, Jon
Dahabreh, Issa
author_facet Wang, Guanbo
Levis, Alexander
Steingrimsson, Jon
Dahabreh, Issa
contents When extending inferences from a randomized trial to a new target population, the transportability condition for conditional difference effect measures is invoked to identify the marginal causal mean difference in the target population. However, many clinical investigators believe that conditional relative effect measures are more likely to be "transportable" between populations. Here, we examine the identification and estimation of the marginal counterfactual mean difference and ratio under the transportability condition for conditional relative effect measures. We obtain identification results for two scenarios that often arise in practice when individuals in the target population (1) only have access to the control treatment, and (2) have access to the control and other treatments but not necessarily the experimental treatment evaluated in the trial. We then propose model and rate multiply robust and nonparametric efficient estimators that allow for the use of data-adaptive methods to model the nuisance functions. We examine the performance of the methods in simulation studies and illustrate their use with data from two trials of paliperidone for patients with schizophrenia. We conclude that the proposed methods are attractive when background knowledge suggests that the transportability condition for conditional relative effect measures is more plausible than alternative conditions.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2402_02702
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Causal inference under transportability assumptions for conditional relative effect measures
Wang, Guanbo
Levis, Alexander
Steingrimsson, Jon
Dahabreh, Issa
Methodology
Statistics Theory
When extending inferences from a randomized trial to a new target population, the transportability condition for conditional difference effect measures is invoked to identify the marginal causal mean difference in the target population. However, many clinical investigators believe that conditional relative effect measures are more likely to be "transportable" between populations. Here, we examine the identification and estimation of the marginal counterfactual mean difference and ratio under the transportability condition for conditional relative effect measures. We obtain identification results for two scenarios that often arise in practice when individuals in the target population (1) only have access to the control treatment, and (2) have access to the control and other treatments but not necessarily the experimental treatment evaluated in the trial. We then propose model and rate multiply robust and nonparametric efficient estimators that allow for the use of data-adaptive methods to model the nuisance functions. We examine the performance of the methods in simulation studies and illustrate their use with data from two trials of paliperidone for patients with schizophrenia. We conclude that the proposed methods are attractive when background knowledge suggests that the transportability condition for conditional relative effect measures is more plausible than alternative conditions.
title Causal inference under transportability assumptions for conditional relative effect measures
topic Methodology
Statistics Theory
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2402.02702