Gaussian Process-Based Nonlinear Moving Horizon Estimation

Fuente: arXiv
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Autores principales: Wolff, Tobias M., Lopez, Victor G., Müller, Matthias A.
Formato: Preprint
Publicado: 2024
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author Wolff, Tobias M.
Lopez, Victor G.
Müller, Matthias A.
author_facet Wolff, Tobias M.
Lopez, Victor G.
Müller, Matthias A.
contents In this paper, we propose a novel Gaussian process-based moving horizon estimation (MHE) framework for unknown nonlinear systems. On the one hand, we approximate the system dynamics by the posterior means of the learned Gaussian processes (GPs). On the other hand, we exploit the posterior variances of the Gaussian processes to design the weighting matrices in the MHE cost function and account for the uncertainty in the learned system dynamics. The data collection and the tuning of the hyperparameters are done offline. We prove robust stability of the GP-based MHE scheme using a Lyapunov-based proof technique. Furthermore, as additional contribution, we derive a sufficient condition under which incremental input/output-to-state stability (a nonlinear detectability notion) is preserved when approximating the system dynamics using, e.g., machine learning techniques. Finally, we illustrate the performance of the GP-based MHE scheme in two simulation case studies and show how the chosen weighting matrices can lead to an improved performance compared to standard cost functions.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2402_04665
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Gaussian Process-Based Nonlinear Moving Horizon Estimation
Wolff, Tobias M.
Lopez, Victor G.
Müller, Matthias A.
Systems and Control
In this paper, we propose a novel Gaussian process-based moving horizon estimation (MHE) framework for unknown nonlinear systems. On the one hand, we approximate the system dynamics by the posterior means of the learned Gaussian processes (GPs). On the other hand, we exploit the posterior variances of the Gaussian processes to design the weighting matrices in the MHE cost function and account for the uncertainty in the learned system dynamics. The data collection and the tuning of the hyperparameters are done offline. We prove robust stability of the GP-based MHE scheme using a Lyapunov-based proof technique. Furthermore, as additional contribution, we derive a sufficient condition under which incremental input/output-to-state stability (a nonlinear detectability notion) is preserved when approximating the system dynamics using, e.g., machine learning techniques. Finally, we illustrate the performance of the GP-based MHE scheme in two simulation case studies and show how the chosen weighting matrices can lead to an improved performance compared to standard cost functions.
title Gaussian Process-Based Nonlinear Moving Horizon Estimation
topic Systems and Control
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2402.04665