Doing Experiments and Revising Rules with Natural Language and Probabilistic Reasoning

Fuente: arXiv
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Hauptverfasser: Piriyakulkij, Wasu Top, Langenfeld, Cassidy, Le, Tuan Anh, Ellis, Kevin
Format: Preprint
Veröffentlicht: 2024
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author Piriyakulkij, Wasu Top
Langenfeld, Cassidy
Le, Tuan Anh
Ellis, Kevin
author_facet Piriyakulkij, Wasu Top
Langenfeld, Cassidy
Le, Tuan Anh
Ellis, Kevin
contents We give a model of how to infer natural language rules by doing experiments. The model integrates Large Language Models (LLMs) with Monte Carlo algorithms for probabilistic inference, interleaving online belief updates with experiment design under information-theoretic criteria. We conduct a human-model comparison on a Zendo-style task, finding that a critical ingredient for modeling the human data is to assume that humans also consider fuzzy, probabilistic rules, in addition to assuming that humans perform approximately-Bayesian belief updates. We also compare with recent algorithms for using LLMs to generate and revise hypotheses, finding that our online inference method yields higher accuracy at recovering the true underlying rule, and provides better support for designing optimal experiments.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2402_06025
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Doing Experiments and Revising Rules with Natural Language and Probabilistic Reasoning
Piriyakulkij, Wasu Top
Langenfeld, Cassidy
Le, Tuan Anh
Ellis, Kevin
Artificial Intelligence
Computation and Language
We give a model of how to infer natural language rules by doing experiments. The model integrates Large Language Models (LLMs) with Monte Carlo algorithms for probabilistic inference, interleaving online belief updates with experiment design under information-theoretic criteria. We conduct a human-model comparison on a Zendo-style task, finding that a critical ingredient for modeling the human data is to assume that humans also consider fuzzy, probabilistic rules, in addition to assuming that humans perform approximately-Bayesian belief updates. We also compare with recent algorithms for using LLMs to generate and revise hypotheses, finding that our online inference method yields higher accuracy at recovering the true underlying rule, and provides better support for designing optimal experiments.
title Doing Experiments and Revising Rules with Natural Language and Probabilistic Reasoning
topic Artificial Intelligence
Computation and Language
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2402.06025