Where is the Truth? The Risk of Getting Confounded in a Continual World

Fuente: arXiv
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Auteurs principaux: Busch, Florian Peter, Kamath, Roshni, Mitchell, Rupert, Stammer, Wolfgang, Kersting, Kristian, Mundt, Martin
Format: Preprint
Publié: 2024
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author Busch, Florian Peter
Kamath, Roshni
Mitchell, Rupert
Stammer, Wolfgang
Kersting, Kristian
Mundt, Martin
author_facet Busch, Florian Peter
Kamath, Roshni
Mitchell, Rupert
Stammer, Wolfgang
Kersting, Kristian
Mundt, Martin
contents A dataset is confounded if it is most easily solved via a spurious correlation, which fails to generalize to new data. In this work, we show that, in a continual learning setting where confounders may vary in time across tasks, the challenge of mitigating the effect of confounders far exceeds the standard forgetting problem normally considered. In particular, we provide a formal description of such continual confounders and identify that, in general, spurious correlations are easily ignored when training for all tasks jointly, but it is harder to avoid confounding when they are considered sequentially. These descriptions serve as a basis for constructing a novel CLEVR-based continually confounded dataset, which we term the ConCon dataset. Our evaluations demonstrate that standard continual learning methods fail to ignore the dataset's confounders. Overall, our work highlights the challenges of confounding factors, particularly in continual learning settings, and demonstrates the need for developing continual learning methods to robustly tackle these.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2402_06434
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Where is the Truth? The Risk of Getting Confounded in a Continual World
Busch, Florian Peter
Kamath, Roshni
Mitchell, Rupert
Stammer, Wolfgang
Kersting, Kristian
Mundt, Martin
Machine Learning
A dataset is confounded if it is most easily solved via a spurious correlation, which fails to generalize to new data. In this work, we show that, in a continual learning setting where confounders may vary in time across tasks, the challenge of mitigating the effect of confounders far exceeds the standard forgetting problem normally considered. In particular, we provide a formal description of such continual confounders and identify that, in general, spurious correlations are easily ignored when training for all tasks jointly, but it is harder to avoid confounding when they are considered sequentially. These descriptions serve as a basis for constructing a novel CLEVR-based continually confounded dataset, which we term the ConCon dataset. Our evaluations demonstrate that standard continual learning methods fail to ignore the dataset's confounders. Overall, our work highlights the challenges of confounding factors, particularly in continual learning settings, and demonstrates the need for developing continual learning methods to robustly tackle these.
title Where is the Truth? The Risk of Getting Confounded in a Continual World
topic Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2402.06434