Assessing Generalization for Subpopulation Representative Modeling via In-Context Learning

Fuente: arXiv
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Autori principali: Simmons, Gabriel, Savinov, Vladislav
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2024
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author Simmons, Gabriel
Savinov, Vladislav
author_facet Simmons, Gabriel
Savinov, Vladislav
contents This study evaluates the ability of Large Language Model (LLM)-based Subpopulation Representative Models (SRMs) to generalize from empirical data, utilizing in-context learning with data from the 2016 and 2020 American National Election Studies. We explore generalization across response variables and demographic subgroups. While conditioning with empirical data improves performance on the whole, the benefit of in-context learning varies considerably across demographics, sometimes hurting performance for one demographic while helping performance for others. The inequitable benefits of in-context learning for SRM present a challenge for practitioners implementing SRMs, and for decision-makers who might come to rely on them. Our work highlights a need for fine-grained benchmarks captured from diverse subpopulations that test not only fidelity but generalization.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2402_07368
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Assessing Generalization for Subpopulation Representative Modeling via In-Context Learning
Simmons, Gabriel
Savinov, Vladislav
Machine Learning
Artificial Intelligence
Computation and Language
Computers and Society
This study evaluates the ability of Large Language Model (LLM)-based Subpopulation Representative Models (SRMs) to generalize from empirical data, utilizing in-context learning with data from the 2016 and 2020 American National Election Studies. We explore generalization across response variables and demographic subgroups. While conditioning with empirical data improves performance on the whole, the benefit of in-context learning varies considerably across demographics, sometimes hurting performance for one demographic while helping performance for others. The inequitable benefits of in-context learning for SRM present a challenge for practitioners implementing SRMs, and for decision-makers who might come to rely on them. Our work highlights a need for fine-grained benchmarks captured from diverse subpopulations that test not only fidelity but generalization.
title Assessing Generalization for Subpopulation Representative Modeling via In-Context Learning
topic Machine Learning
Artificial Intelligence
Computation and Language
Computers and Society
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2402.07368