Identifying Intended Effects with Causal Models

Fuente: arXiv
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Autor principal: Compagno, Dario
Formato: Preprint
Publicado: 2024
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author Compagno, Dario
author_facet Compagno, Dario
contents The aim of this paper is to extend the framework of causal inference, in particular as it has been developed by Judea Pearl, in order to model actions and identify their intended effects, in the direction opened by Elisabeth Anscombe. We show how intentions can be inferred from a causal model and its implied correlations observable in data. The paper defines confounding effects as the reasons why teleological inference may fail and introduces interference as a way to control for them. The ''fundamental problem'' of teleological inference is presented, explaining why causal analysis needs an extension in order to take intentions into account.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2402_09472
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Identifying Intended Effects with Causal Models
Compagno, Dario
Methodology
Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability
The aim of this paper is to extend the framework of causal inference, in particular as it has been developed by Judea Pearl, in order to model actions and identify their intended effects, in the direction opened by Elisabeth Anscombe. We show how intentions can be inferred from a causal model and its implied correlations observable in data. The paper defines confounding effects as the reasons why teleological inference may fail and introduces interference as a way to control for them. The ''fundamental problem'' of teleological inference is presented, explaining why causal analysis needs an extension in order to take intentions into account.
title Identifying Intended Effects with Causal Models
topic Methodology
Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2402.09472