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Main Authors: Franceschi, Luca, Donini, Michele, Archambeau, Cédric, Seeger, Matthias
Format: Preprint
Published: 2024
Subjects:
Online Access:https://arxiv.org/abs/2402.09947
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author Franceschi, Luca
Donini, Michele
Archambeau, Cédric
Seeger, Matthias
author_facet Franceschi, Luca
Donini, Michele
Archambeau, Cédric
Seeger, Matthias
contents A large branch of explainable machine learning is grounded in cooperative game theory. However, research indicates that game-theoretic explanations may mislead or be hard to interpret. We argue that often there is a critical mismatch between what one wishes to explain (e.g. the output of a classifier) and what current methods such as SHAP explain (e.g. the scalar probability of a class). This paper addresses such gap for probabilistic models by generalising cooperative games and value operators. We introduce the distributional values, random variables that track changes in the model output (e.g. flipping of the predicted class) and derive their analytic expressions for games with Gaussian, Bernoulli and Categorical payoffs. We further establish several characterising properties, and show that our framework provides fine-grained and insightful explanations with case studies on vision and language models.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2402_09947
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Explaining Probabilistic Models with Distributional Values
Franceschi, Luca
Donini, Michele
Archambeau, Cédric
Seeger, Matthias
Machine Learning
A large branch of explainable machine learning is grounded in cooperative game theory. However, research indicates that game-theoretic explanations may mislead or be hard to interpret. We argue that often there is a critical mismatch between what one wishes to explain (e.g. the output of a classifier) and what current methods such as SHAP explain (e.g. the scalar probability of a class). This paper addresses such gap for probabilistic models by generalising cooperative games and value operators. We introduce the distributional values, random variables that track changes in the model output (e.g. flipping of the predicted class) and derive their analytic expressions for games with Gaussian, Bernoulli and Categorical payoffs. We further establish several characterising properties, and show that our framework provides fine-grained and insightful explanations with case studies on vision and language models.
title Explaining Probabilistic Models with Distributional Values
topic Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2402.09947