Numerical Claim Detection in Finance: A New Financial Dataset, Weak-Supervision Model, and Market Analysis

Fuente: arXiv
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Main Authors: Shah, Agam, Hiray, Arnav, Shah, Pratvi, Banerjee, Arkaprabha, Singh, Anushka, Eidnani, Dheeraj, Chava, Sahasra, Chaudhury, Bhaskar, Chava, Sudheer
Format: Preprint
Published: 2024
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author Shah, Agam
Hiray, Arnav
Shah, Pratvi
Banerjee, Arkaprabha
Singh, Anushka
Eidnani, Dheeraj
Chava, Sahasra
Chaudhury, Bhaskar
Chava, Sudheer
author_facet Shah, Agam
Hiray, Arnav
Shah, Pratvi
Banerjee, Arkaprabha
Singh, Anushka
Eidnani, Dheeraj
Chava, Sahasra
Chaudhury, Bhaskar
Chava, Sudheer
contents In this paper, we investigate the influence of claims in analyst reports and earnings calls on financial market returns, considering them as significant quarterly events for publicly traded companies. To facilitate a comprehensive analysis, we construct a new financial dataset for the claim detection task in the financial domain. We benchmark various language models on this dataset and propose a novel weak-supervision model that incorporates the knowledge of subject matter experts (SMEs) in the aggregation function, outperforming existing approaches. We also demonstrate the practical utility of our proposed model by constructing a novel measure of optimism. Here, we observe the dependence of earnings surprise and return on our optimism measure. Our dataset, models, and code are publicly (under CC BY 4.0 license) available on GitHub.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2402_11728
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Numerical Claim Detection in Finance: A New Financial Dataset, Weak-Supervision Model, and Market Analysis
Shah, Agam
Hiray, Arnav
Shah, Pratvi
Banerjee, Arkaprabha
Singh, Anushka
Eidnani, Dheeraj
Chava, Sahasra
Chaudhury, Bhaskar
Chava, Sudheer
Computation and Language
Machine Learning
Computational Finance
In this paper, we investigate the influence of claims in analyst reports and earnings calls on financial market returns, considering them as significant quarterly events for publicly traded companies. To facilitate a comprehensive analysis, we construct a new financial dataset for the claim detection task in the financial domain. We benchmark various language models on this dataset and propose a novel weak-supervision model that incorporates the knowledge of subject matter experts (SMEs) in the aggregation function, outperforming existing approaches. We also demonstrate the practical utility of our proposed model by constructing a novel measure of optimism. Here, we observe the dependence of earnings surprise and return on our optimism measure. Our dataset, models, and code are publicly (under CC BY 4.0 license) available on GitHub.
title Numerical Claim Detection in Finance: A New Financial Dataset, Weak-Supervision Model, and Market Analysis
topic Computation and Language
Machine Learning
Computational Finance
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2402.11728