Almost sure convergence rates of adaptive increasingly rare Markov chain Monte Carlo

Fuente: arXiv
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Autores principales: Hofstadler, Julian, Latuszynski, Krzysztof, Roberts, Gareth O., Rudolf, Daniel
Formato: Preprint
Publicado: 2024
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author Hofstadler, Julian
Latuszynski, Krzysztof
Roberts, Gareth O.
Rudolf, Daniel
author_facet Hofstadler, Julian
Latuszynski, Krzysztof
Roberts, Gareth O.
Rudolf, Daniel
contents We consider adaptive increasingly rare Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms, which are adaptive MCMC methods, where the adaptation concerning the "past'' happens less and less frequently over time. Under a contraction assumption with respect to a Wasserstein-like function we deduce upper bounds of the convergence rate of Monte Carlo sums taking a renormalisation factor into account that is "almost'' the one that appears in a law of the iterated logarithm. We demonstrate the applicability of our results by considering different settings, among which are those of simultaneous geometric and uniform ergodicity. All proofs are carried out on an augmented state space, including the classical non-augmented setting as a special case. In contrast to other adaptive MCMC limit theory, some technical assumptions, like diminishing adaptation, are not needed.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2402_12122
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Almost sure convergence rates of adaptive increasingly rare Markov chain Monte Carlo
Hofstadler, Julian
Latuszynski, Krzysztof
Roberts, Gareth O.
Rudolf, Daniel
Numerical Analysis
Probability
Statistics Theory
65C05, 65C20, 60J22
We consider adaptive increasingly rare Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms, which are adaptive MCMC methods, where the adaptation concerning the "past'' happens less and less frequently over time. Under a contraction assumption with respect to a Wasserstein-like function we deduce upper bounds of the convergence rate of Monte Carlo sums taking a renormalisation factor into account that is "almost'' the one that appears in a law of the iterated logarithm. We demonstrate the applicability of our results by considering different settings, among which are those of simultaneous geometric and uniform ergodicity. All proofs are carried out on an augmented state space, including the classical non-augmented setting as a special case. In contrast to other adaptive MCMC limit theory, some technical assumptions, like diminishing adaptation, are not needed.
title Almost sure convergence rates of adaptive increasingly rare Markov chain Monte Carlo
topic Numerical Analysis
Probability
Statistics Theory
65C05, 65C20, 60J22
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2402.12122