Manipulating hidden-Markov-model inferences by corrupting batch data

Fuente: arXiv
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Autori principali: Caballero, William N., Camacho, Jose Manuel, Ekin, Tahir, Naveiro, Roi
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2024
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author Caballero, William N.
Camacho, Jose Manuel
Ekin, Tahir
Naveiro, Roi
author_facet Caballero, William N.
Camacho, Jose Manuel
Ekin, Tahir
Naveiro, Roi
contents Time-series models typically assume untainted and legitimate streams of data. However, a self-interested adversary may have incentive to corrupt this data, thereby altering a decision maker's inference. Within the broader field of adversarial machine learning, this research provides a novel, probabilistic perspective toward the manipulation of hidden Markov model inferences via corrupted data. In particular, we provision a suite of corruption problems for filtering, smoothing, and decoding inferences leveraging an adversarial risk analysis approach. Multiple stochastic programming models are set forth that incorporate realistic uncertainties and varied attacker objectives. Three general solution methods are developed by alternatively viewing the problem from frequentist and Bayesian perspectives. The efficacy of each method is illustrated via extensive, empirical testing. The developed methods are characterized by their solution quality and computational effort, resulting in a stratification of techniques across varying problem-instance architectures. This research highlights the weaknesses of hidden Markov models under adversarial activity, thereby motivating the need for robustification techniques to ensure their security.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2402_13287
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Manipulating hidden-Markov-model inferences by corrupting batch data
Caballero, William N.
Camacho, Jose Manuel
Ekin, Tahir
Naveiro, Roi
Cryptography and Security
Artificial Intelligence
Machine Learning
Time-series models typically assume untainted and legitimate streams of data. However, a self-interested adversary may have incentive to corrupt this data, thereby altering a decision maker's inference. Within the broader field of adversarial machine learning, this research provides a novel, probabilistic perspective toward the manipulation of hidden Markov model inferences via corrupted data. In particular, we provision a suite of corruption problems for filtering, smoothing, and decoding inferences leveraging an adversarial risk analysis approach. Multiple stochastic programming models are set forth that incorporate realistic uncertainties and varied attacker objectives. Three general solution methods are developed by alternatively viewing the problem from frequentist and Bayesian perspectives. The efficacy of each method is illustrated via extensive, empirical testing. The developed methods are characterized by their solution quality and computational effort, resulting in a stratification of techniques across varying problem-instance architectures. This research highlights the weaknesses of hidden Markov models under adversarial activity, thereby motivating the need for robustification techniques to ensure their security.
title Manipulating hidden-Markov-model inferences by corrupting batch data
topic Cryptography and Security
Artificial Intelligence
Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2402.13287