Grouped approximate control variate estimators

Fuente: arXiv
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Auteurs principaux: Gorodetsky, Alex A., Jakeman, John D., Eldred, Michael S.
Format: Preprint
Publié: 2024
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author Gorodetsky, Alex A.
Jakeman, John D.
Eldred, Michael S.
author_facet Gorodetsky, Alex A.
Jakeman, John D.
Eldred, Michael S.
contents This paper analyzes the approximate control variate (ACV) approach to multifidelity uncertainty quantification in the case where weighted estimators are combined to form the components of the ACV. The weighted estimators enable one to precisely group models that share input samples to achieve improved variance reduction. We demonstrate that this viewpoint yields a generalized linear estimator that can assign any weight to any sample. This generalization shows that other linear estimators in the literature, particularly the multilevel best linear unbiased estimator (ML-BLUE) of Schaden and Ullman in 2020, becomes a specific version of the ACV estimator of Gorodetsky, Geraci, Jakeman, and Eldred, 2020. Moreover, this connection enables numerous extensions and insights. For example, we empirically show that having non-independent groups can yield better variance reduction compared to the independent groups used by ML-BLUE. Furthermore, we show that such grouped estimators can use arbitrary weighted estimators, not just the simple Monte Carlo estimators used in ML-BLUE. Furthermore, the analysis enables the derivation of ML-BLUE directly from a variance reduction perspective, rather than a regression perspective.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2402_14736
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Grouped approximate control variate estimators
Gorodetsky, Alex A.
Jakeman, John D.
Eldred, Michael S.
Computation
Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science
This paper analyzes the approximate control variate (ACV) approach to multifidelity uncertainty quantification in the case where weighted estimators are combined to form the components of the ACV. The weighted estimators enable one to precisely group models that share input samples to achieve improved variance reduction. We demonstrate that this viewpoint yields a generalized linear estimator that can assign any weight to any sample. This generalization shows that other linear estimators in the literature, particularly the multilevel best linear unbiased estimator (ML-BLUE) of Schaden and Ullman in 2020, becomes a specific version of the ACV estimator of Gorodetsky, Geraci, Jakeman, and Eldred, 2020. Moreover, this connection enables numerous extensions and insights. For example, we empirically show that having non-independent groups can yield better variance reduction compared to the independent groups used by ML-BLUE. Furthermore, we show that such grouped estimators can use arbitrary weighted estimators, not just the simple Monte Carlo estimators used in ML-BLUE. Furthermore, the analysis enables the derivation of ML-BLUE directly from a variance reduction perspective, rather than a regression perspective.
title Grouped approximate control variate estimators
topic Computation
Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2402.14736