LSTPrompt: Large Language Models as Zero-Shot Time Series Forecasters by Long-Short-Term Prompting
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arXiv
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| Autori principali: | , , , , |
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| Natura: | Preprint |
| Pubblicazione: |
2024
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| _version_ | 1866909119986794496 |
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| author | Liu, Haoxin Zhao, Zhiyuan Wang, Jindong Kamarthi, Harshavardhan Prakash, B. Aditya |
| author_facet | Liu, Haoxin Zhao, Zhiyuan Wang, Jindong Kamarthi, Harshavardhan Prakash, B. Aditya |
| contents | Time-series forecasting (TSF) finds broad applications in real-world scenarios. Prompting off-the-shelf Large Language Models (LLMs) demonstrates strong zero-shot TSF capabilities while preserving computational efficiency. However, existing prompting methods oversimplify TSF as language next-token predictions, overlooking its dynamic nature and lack of integration with state-of-the-art prompt strategies such as Chain-of-Thought. Thus, we propose LSTPrompt, a novel approach for prompting LLMs in zero-shot TSF tasks. LSTPrompt decomposes TSF into short-term and long-term forecasting sub-tasks, tailoring prompts to each. LSTPrompt guides LLMs to regularly reassess forecasting mechanisms to enhance adaptability. Extensive evaluations demonstrate consistently better performance of LSTPrompt than existing prompting methods, and competitive results compared to foundation TSF models. |
| format | Preprint |
| id |
arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2402_16132 |
| institution | arXiv |
| publishDate | 2024 |
| record_format | arxiv |
| spellingShingle | LSTPrompt: Large Language Models as Zero-Shot Time Series Forecasters by Long-Short-Term Prompting Liu, Haoxin Zhao, Zhiyuan Wang, Jindong Kamarthi, Harshavardhan Prakash, B. Aditya Computation and Language Artificial Intelligence Time-series forecasting (TSF) finds broad applications in real-world scenarios. Prompting off-the-shelf Large Language Models (LLMs) demonstrates strong zero-shot TSF capabilities while preserving computational efficiency. However, existing prompting methods oversimplify TSF as language next-token predictions, overlooking its dynamic nature and lack of integration with state-of-the-art prompt strategies such as Chain-of-Thought. Thus, we propose LSTPrompt, a novel approach for prompting LLMs in zero-shot TSF tasks. LSTPrompt decomposes TSF into short-term and long-term forecasting sub-tasks, tailoring prompts to each. LSTPrompt guides LLMs to regularly reassess forecasting mechanisms to enhance adaptability. Extensive evaluations demonstrate consistently better performance of LSTPrompt than existing prompting methods, and competitive results compared to foundation TSF models. |
| title | LSTPrompt: Large Language Models as Zero-Shot Time Series Forecasters by Long-Short-Term Prompting |
| topic | Computation and Language Artificial Intelligence |
| url | https://arxiv.org/abs/2402.16132 |