An improved calendar ring hole-count for the Antikythera mechanism

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Hauptverfasser: Woan, Graham, Bayley, Joseph
Format: Preprint
Veröffentlicht: 2024
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author Woan, Graham
Bayley, Joseph
author_facet Woan, Graham
Bayley, Joseph
contents We present a new analysis of the positions of holes beneath the calendar ring of the Antikythera mechanism, as measured by Budiselic et al. (2020). We significantly refine their estimate for the number of holes that were present in the full ring. Our $68\%$-credible estimate for this number, taking account of all the data, is $355.24^{ +1.39 }_{ -1.36 }$. If holes adjacent to fractures are removed from the analysis, our estimate becomes $354.08^{ +1.47}_{-1.41}$. A ring of 360 holes is strongly disfavoured, and one of 365 holes is not plausible, given our model assumptions.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2403_00040
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle An improved calendar ring hole-count for the Antikythera mechanism
Woan, Graham
Bayley, Joseph
History and Philosophy of Physics
Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics
We present a new analysis of the positions of holes beneath the calendar ring of the Antikythera mechanism, as measured by Budiselic et al. (2020). We significantly refine their estimate for the number of holes that were present in the full ring. Our $68\%$-credible estimate for this number, taking account of all the data, is $355.24^{ +1.39 }_{ -1.36 }$. If holes adjacent to fractures are removed from the analysis, our estimate becomes $354.08^{ +1.47}_{-1.41}$. A ring of 360 holes is strongly disfavoured, and one of 365 holes is not plausible, given our model assumptions.
title An improved calendar ring hole-count for the Antikythera mechanism
topic History and Philosophy of Physics
Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2403.00040