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Main Authors: Baicoianu, Alexandra, Gavrilă, Cristina Gabriela, Pacurar, Cristina Maria, Pacurar, Victor Dan
Format: Preprint
Published: 2024
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Online Access:https://arxiv.org/abs/2403.00403
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author Baicoianu, Alexandra
Gavrilă, Cristina Gabriela
Pacurar, Cristina Maria
Pacurar, Victor Dan
author_facet Baicoianu, Alexandra
Gavrilă, Cristina Gabriela
Pacurar, Cristina Maria
Pacurar, Victor Dan
contents This paper focuses on the hypothesis of optimizing time series predictions using fractal interpolation techniques. In general, the accuracy of machine learning model predictions is closely related to the quality and quantitative aspects of the data used, following the principle of \textit{garbage-in, garbage-out}. In order to quantitatively and qualitatively augment datasets, one of the most prevalent concerns of data scientists is to generate synthetic data, which should follow as closely as possible the actual pattern of the original data. This study proposes three different data augmentation strategies based on fractal interpolation, namely the \textit{Closest Hurst Strategy}, \textit{Closest Values Strategy} and \textit{Formula Strategy}. To validate the strategies, we used four public datasets from the literature, as well as a private dataset obtained from meteorological records in the city of Brasov, Romania. The prediction results obtained with the LSTM model using the presented interpolation strategies showed a significant accuracy improvement compared to the raw datasets, thus providing a possible answer to practical problems in the field of remote sensing and sensor sensitivity. Moreover, our methodologies answer some optimization-related open questions for the fractal interpolation step using \textit{Optuna} framework.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2403_00403
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Fractal interpolation in the context of prediction accuracy optimization
Baicoianu, Alexandra
Gavrilă, Cristina Gabriela
Pacurar, Cristina Maria
Pacurar, Victor Dan
Machine Learning
This paper focuses on the hypothesis of optimizing time series predictions using fractal interpolation techniques. In general, the accuracy of machine learning model predictions is closely related to the quality and quantitative aspects of the data used, following the principle of \textit{garbage-in, garbage-out}. In order to quantitatively and qualitatively augment datasets, one of the most prevalent concerns of data scientists is to generate synthetic data, which should follow as closely as possible the actual pattern of the original data. This study proposes three different data augmentation strategies based on fractal interpolation, namely the \textit{Closest Hurst Strategy}, \textit{Closest Values Strategy} and \textit{Formula Strategy}. To validate the strategies, we used four public datasets from the literature, as well as a private dataset obtained from meteorological records in the city of Brasov, Romania. The prediction results obtained with the LSTM model using the presented interpolation strategies showed a significant accuracy improvement compared to the raw datasets, thus providing a possible answer to practical problems in the field of remote sensing and sensor sensitivity. Moreover, our methodologies answer some optimization-related open questions for the fractal interpolation step using \textit{Optuna} framework.
title Fractal interpolation in the context of prediction accuracy optimization
topic Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2403.00403