Blockchain Metrics and Indicators in Cryptocurrency Trading

Fuente: arXiv
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Auteurs principaux: King, Juan C., Dale, Roberto, Amigó, José M.
Format: Preprint
Publié: 2024
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author King, Juan C.
Dale, Roberto
Amigó, José M.
author_facet King, Juan C.
Dale, Roberto
Amigó, José M.
contents The objective of this paper is the construction of new indicators that can be useful to operate in the cryptocurrency market. These indicators are based on public data obtained from the blockchain network, specifically from the nodes that make up Bitcoin mining. Therefore, our analysis is unique to that network. The results obtained with numerical simulations of algorithmic trading and prediction via statistical models and Machine Learning demonstrate the importance of variables such as the hash rate, the difficulty of mining or the cost per transaction when it comes to trade Bitcoin assets or predict the direction of price. Variables obtained from the blockchain network will be called here blockchain metrics. The corresponding indicators (inspired by the "Hash Ribbon") perform well in locating buy signals. From our results, we conclude that such blockchain indicators allow obtaining information with a statistical advantage in the highly volatile cryptocurrency market.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2403_00770
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Blockchain Metrics and Indicators in Cryptocurrency Trading
King, Juan C.
Dale, Roberto
Amigó, José M.
Statistical Finance
Cryptography and Security
The objective of this paper is the construction of new indicators that can be useful to operate in the cryptocurrency market. These indicators are based on public data obtained from the blockchain network, specifically from the nodes that make up Bitcoin mining. Therefore, our analysis is unique to that network. The results obtained with numerical simulations of algorithmic trading and prediction via statistical models and Machine Learning demonstrate the importance of variables such as the hash rate, the difficulty of mining or the cost per transaction when it comes to trade Bitcoin assets or predict the direction of price. Variables obtained from the blockchain network will be called here blockchain metrics. The corresponding indicators (inspired by the "Hash Ribbon") perform well in locating buy signals. From our results, we conclude that such blockchain indicators allow obtaining information with a statistical advantage in the highly volatile cryptocurrency market.
title Blockchain Metrics and Indicators in Cryptocurrency Trading
topic Statistical Finance
Cryptography and Security
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2403.00770