Tuning neural posterior estimation for gravitational wave inference

Fuente: arXiv
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Autori principali: Kolmus, Alex, Janquart, Justin, Baka, Tomasz, van Laarhoven, Twan, Broeck, Chris Van Den, Heskes, Tom
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2024
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author Kolmus, Alex
Janquart, Justin
Baka, Tomasz
van Laarhoven, Twan
Broeck, Chris Van Den
Heskes, Tom
author_facet Kolmus, Alex
Janquart, Justin
Baka, Tomasz
van Laarhoven, Twan
Broeck, Chris Van Den
Heskes, Tom
contents Modern simulation-based inference techniques use neural networks to solve inverse problems efficiently. One notable strategy is neural posterior estimation (NPE), wherein a neural network parameterizes a distribution to approximate the posterior. This approach is particularly advantageous for tackling low-latency or high-volume inverse problems. However, the accuracy of NPE varies significantly within the learned parameter space. This variability is observed even in seemingly straightforward systems like coupled-harmonic oscillators. This paper emphasizes the critical role of prior selection in ensuring the consistency of NPE outcomes. Our findings indicate a clear relationship between NPE performance across the parameter space and the number of similar samples trained on by the model. Thus, the prior should match the sample diversity across the parameter space to promote strong, uniform performance. Furthermore, we introduce a novel procedure, in which amortized and sequential NPE are combined to swiftly refine NPE predictions for individual events. This method substantially improves sample efficiency, on average from nearly 0% to 10-80% within ten minutes. Notably, our research demonstrates its real-world applicability by achieving a significant milestone: accurate and swift inference of posterior distributions for low-mass binary black hole (BBH) events with NPE.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2403_02443
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Tuning neural posterior estimation for gravitational wave inference
Kolmus, Alex
Janquart, Justin
Baka, Tomasz
van Laarhoven, Twan
Broeck, Chris Van Den
Heskes, Tom
Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics
Modern simulation-based inference techniques use neural networks to solve inverse problems efficiently. One notable strategy is neural posterior estimation (NPE), wherein a neural network parameterizes a distribution to approximate the posterior. This approach is particularly advantageous for tackling low-latency or high-volume inverse problems. However, the accuracy of NPE varies significantly within the learned parameter space. This variability is observed even in seemingly straightforward systems like coupled-harmonic oscillators. This paper emphasizes the critical role of prior selection in ensuring the consistency of NPE outcomes. Our findings indicate a clear relationship between NPE performance across the parameter space and the number of similar samples trained on by the model. Thus, the prior should match the sample diversity across the parameter space to promote strong, uniform performance. Furthermore, we introduce a novel procedure, in which amortized and sequential NPE are combined to swiftly refine NPE predictions for individual events. This method substantially improves sample efficiency, on average from nearly 0% to 10-80% within ten minutes. Notably, our research demonstrates its real-world applicability by achieving a significant milestone: accurate and swift inference of posterior distributions for low-mass binary black hole (BBH) events with NPE.
title Tuning neural posterior estimation for gravitational wave inference
topic Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2403.02443