Criminal organizations exhibit hysteresis, resilience, and robustness by balancing security and efficiency
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arXiv
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| Main Authors: | , , |
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| Format: | Preprint |
| Published: |
2024
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| Subjects: | |
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| _version_ | 1866913268638941184 |
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| author | van Elteren, Casper Vasconcelos, Vítor V. Lees, Mike |
| author_facet | van Elteren, Casper Vasconcelos, Vítor V. Lees, Mike |
| contents | The interplay between criminal organizations and law enforcement disruption strategies is crucial in criminology. Criminal enterprises, like legitimate businesses, balance visibility and security to thrive. This study uses evolutionary game theory to analyze criminal networks' dynamics, resilience to interventions, and responses to external conditions. We find strong hysteresis effects, challenging traditional deterrence-focused strategies. Optimal thresholds for organization formation or dissolution are defined by these effects. Stricter punishment doesn't always deter organized crime linearly. Network structure, particularly link density and skill assortativity, significantly influences organization formation and stability. These insights advocate for adaptive policy-making and strategic law enforcement to effectively disrupt criminal networks. |
| format | Preprint |
| id |
arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2403_03720 |
| institution | arXiv |
| publishDate | 2024 |
| record_format | arxiv |
| spellingShingle | Criminal organizations exhibit hysteresis, resilience, and robustness by balancing security and efficiency van Elteren, Casper Vasconcelos, Vítor V. Lees, Mike Physics and Society Social and Information Networks The interplay between criminal organizations and law enforcement disruption strategies is crucial in criminology. Criminal enterprises, like legitimate businesses, balance visibility and security to thrive. This study uses evolutionary game theory to analyze criminal networks' dynamics, resilience to interventions, and responses to external conditions. We find strong hysteresis effects, challenging traditional deterrence-focused strategies. Optimal thresholds for organization formation or dissolution are defined by these effects. Stricter punishment doesn't always deter organized crime linearly. Network structure, particularly link density and skill assortativity, significantly influences organization formation and stability. These insights advocate for adaptive policy-making and strategic law enforcement to effectively disrupt criminal networks. |
| title | Criminal organizations exhibit hysteresis, resilience, and robustness by balancing security and efficiency |
| topic | Physics and Society Social and Information Networks |
| url | https://arxiv.org/abs/2403.03720 |