Efficient CNN-LSTM based Parameter Estimation of Levy Driven Stochastic Differential Equations

Fuente: arXiv
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Autores principales: Li, Shuaiyu, Ruan, Yang, Long, Changzhou, Cheng, Yuzhong
Formato: Preprint
Publicado: 2024
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author Li, Shuaiyu
Ruan, Yang
Long, Changzhou
Cheng, Yuzhong
author_facet Li, Shuaiyu
Ruan, Yang
Long, Changzhou
Cheng, Yuzhong
contents This study addresses the challenges in parameter estimation of stochastic differential equations driven by non-Gaussian noises, which are critical in understanding dynamic phenomena such as price fluctuations and the spread of infectious diseases. Previous research highlighted the potential of LSTM networks in estimating parameters of alpha stable Levy driven SDEs but faced limitations including high time complexity and constraints of the LSTM chaining property. To mitigate these issues, we introduce the PEnet, a novel CNN-LSTM-based three-stage model that offers an end to end approach with superior accuracy and adaptability to varying data structures, enhanced inference speed for long sequence observations through initial data feature condensation by CNN, and high generalization capability, allowing its application to various complex SDE scenarios. Experiments on synthetic datasets confirm PEnet significant advantage in estimating SDE parameters associated with noise characteristics, establishing it as a competitive method for SDE parameter estimation in the presence of Levy noise.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2403_04246
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Efficient CNN-LSTM based Parameter Estimation of Levy Driven Stochastic Differential Equations
Li, Shuaiyu
Ruan, Yang
Long, Changzhou
Cheng, Yuzhong
Machine Learning
Artificial Intelligence
This study addresses the challenges in parameter estimation of stochastic differential equations driven by non-Gaussian noises, which are critical in understanding dynamic phenomena such as price fluctuations and the spread of infectious diseases. Previous research highlighted the potential of LSTM networks in estimating parameters of alpha stable Levy driven SDEs but faced limitations including high time complexity and constraints of the LSTM chaining property. To mitigate these issues, we introduce the PEnet, a novel CNN-LSTM-based three-stage model that offers an end to end approach with superior accuracy and adaptability to varying data structures, enhanced inference speed for long sequence observations through initial data feature condensation by CNN, and high generalization capability, allowing its application to various complex SDE scenarios. Experiments on synthetic datasets confirm PEnet significant advantage in estimating SDE parameters associated with noise characteristics, establishing it as a competitive method for SDE parameter estimation in the presence of Levy noise.
title Efficient CNN-LSTM based Parameter Estimation of Levy Driven Stochastic Differential Equations
topic Machine Learning
Artificial Intelligence
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2403.04246