A New Testing Method for Justification Bias Using High-Frequency Data of Health and Employment

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Hauptverfasser: Wen, Jiayi, Ye, Zixi, Zhang, Xuan
Format: Preprint
Veröffentlicht: 2024
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author Wen, Jiayi
Ye, Zixi
Zhang, Xuan
author_facet Wen, Jiayi
Ye, Zixi
Zhang, Xuan
contents Justification bias, wherein retirees may report poorer health to rationalize their retirement, poses a major concern to the widely-used measure of self-assessed health in retirement studies. This paper introduces a novel method for testing the presence of this bias in the spirit of regression discontinuity. The underlying idea is that any sudden shift in self-assessed health immediately following retirement is more likely attributable to the bias. Our strategy is facilitated by a unique high-frequency data that offers monthly, in contrast to the typical biennial, information on employment, self-assessed health, and objective health conditions. Across a wider post-retirement time frame, we observe a decline in self-assessed health, potentially stemming from both justification bias and changes in actual health. However, this adverse effect diminishes with shorter intervals, indicating no evidence of such bias. Our method also validates a widely-used indirect testing approach.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2403_06368
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle A New Testing Method for Justification Bias Using High-Frequency Data of Health and Employment
Wen, Jiayi
Ye, Zixi
Zhang, Xuan
General Economics
Economics
Justification bias, wherein retirees may report poorer health to rationalize their retirement, poses a major concern to the widely-used measure of self-assessed health in retirement studies. This paper introduces a novel method for testing the presence of this bias in the spirit of regression discontinuity. The underlying idea is that any sudden shift in self-assessed health immediately following retirement is more likely attributable to the bias. Our strategy is facilitated by a unique high-frequency data that offers monthly, in contrast to the typical biennial, information on employment, self-assessed health, and objective health conditions. Across a wider post-retirement time frame, we observe a decline in self-assessed health, potentially stemming from both justification bias and changes in actual health. However, this adverse effect diminishes with shorter intervals, indicating no evidence of such bias. Our method also validates a widely-used indirect testing approach.
title A New Testing Method for Justification Bias Using High-Frequency Data of Health and Employment
topic General Economics
Economics
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2403.06368