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Hauptverfasser: Yusuf, Ibrahim Salihu, Yusuf, Mukhtar Opeyemi, Panford-Quainoo, Kobby, Pretorius, Arnu
Format: Preprint
Veröffentlicht: 2024
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Online-Zugang:https://arxiv.org/abs/2403.06860
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author Yusuf, Ibrahim Salihu
Yusuf, Mukhtar Opeyemi
Panford-Quainoo, Kobby
Pretorius, Arnu
author_facet Yusuf, Ibrahim Salihu
Yusuf, Mukhtar Opeyemi
Panford-Quainoo, Kobby
Pretorius, Arnu
contents Desert locust swarms present a major threat to agriculture and food security. Addressing this challenge, our study develops an operationally-ready model for predicting locust breeding grounds, which has the potential to enhance early warning systems and targeted control measures. We curated a dataset from the United Nations Food and Agriculture Organization's (UN-FAO) locust observation records and analyzed it using two types of spatio-temporal input features: remotely-sensed environmental and climate data as well as multi-spectral earth observation images. Our approach employed custom deep learning models (three-dimensional and LSTM-based recurrent convolutional networks), along with the geospatial foundational model Prithvi recently released by Jakubik et al., 2023. These models notably outperformed existing baselines, with the Prithvi-based model, fine-tuned on multi-spectral images from NASA's Harmonized Landsat and Sentinel-2 (HLS) dataset, achieving the highest accuracy, F1 and ROC-AUC scores (83.03%, 81.53% and 87.69%, respectively). A significant finding from our research is that multi-spectral earth observation images alone are sufficient for effective locust breeding ground prediction without the need to explicitly incorporate climatic or environmental features.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2403_06860
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle A Geospatial Approach to Predicting Desert Locust Breeding Grounds in Africa
Yusuf, Ibrahim Salihu
Yusuf, Mukhtar Opeyemi
Panford-Quainoo, Kobby
Pretorius, Arnu
Machine Learning
Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition
Desert locust swarms present a major threat to agriculture and food security. Addressing this challenge, our study develops an operationally-ready model for predicting locust breeding grounds, which has the potential to enhance early warning systems and targeted control measures. We curated a dataset from the United Nations Food and Agriculture Organization's (UN-FAO) locust observation records and analyzed it using two types of spatio-temporal input features: remotely-sensed environmental and climate data as well as multi-spectral earth observation images. Our approach employed custom deep learning models (three-dimensional and LSTM-based recurrent convolutional networks), along with the geospatial foundational model Prithvi recently released by Jakubik et al., 2023. These models notably outperformed existing baselines, with the Prithvi-based model, fine-tuned on multi-spectral images from NASA's Harmonized Landsat and Sentinel-2 (HLS) dataset, achieving the highest accuracy, F1 and ROC-AUC scores (83.03%, 81.53% and 87.69%, respectively). A significant finding from our research is that multi-spectral earth observation images alone are sufficient for effective locust breeding ground prediction without the need to explicitly incorporate climatic or environmental features.
title A Geospatial Approach to Predicting Desert Locust Breeding Grounds in Africa
topic Machine Learning
Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2403.06860