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Main Authors: Cho, Inkoo, Williams, Noah
Format: Preprint
Published: 2024
Subjects:
Online Access:https://arxiv.org/abs/2403.07177
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author Cho, Inkoo
Williams, Noah
author_facet Cho, Inkoo
Williams, Noah
contents We develop a model of algorithmic pricing that shuts down every channel for explicit or implicit collusion while still generating collusive outcomes. We analyze the dynamics of a duopoly market where both firms use pricing algorithms consisting of a parameterized family of model specifications. The firms update both the parameters and the weights on models to adapt endogenously to market outcomes. We show that the market experiences recurrent episodes where both firms set prices at collusive levels. We analytically characterize the dynamics of the model, using large deviation theory to explain the recurrent episodes of collusive outcomes. Our results show that collusive outcomes may be a recurrent feature of algorithmic environments with complementarities and endogenous adaptation, providing a challenge for competition policy.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2403_07177
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Collusive Outcomes Without Collusion
Cho, Inkoo
Williams, Noah
Theoretical Economics
We develop a model of algorithmic pricing that shuts down every channel for explicit or implicit collusion while still generating collusive outcomes. We analyze the dynamics of a duopoly market where both firms use pricing algorithms consisting of a parameterized family of model specifications. The firms update both the parameters and the weights on models to adapt endogenously to market outcomes. We show that the market experiences recurrent episodes where both firms set prices at collusive levels. We analytically characterize the dynamics of the model, using large deviation theory to explain the recurrent episodes of collusive outcomes. Our results show that collusive outcomes may be a recurrent feature of algorithmic environments with complementarities and endogenous adaptation, providing a challenge for competition policy.
title Collusive Outcomes Without Collusion
topic Theoretical Economics
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2403.07177