Twenty ways to estimate the Log Gaussian Cox Process model with point and aggregated case data: the rts2 package for R

Fuente: arXiv
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Main Author: Watson, Samuel I
Format: Preprint
Published: 2024
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author Watson, Samuel I
author_facet Watson, Samuel I
contents The R package rts2 provides data manipulation and model fitting tools for Log Gaussian Cox Process (LGCP) models. LGCP models are a key method for disease and other types of surveillance, and provide a means of predicting risk across an area of interest based on spatially-referenced and time-stamped case data. However, these models can be difficult to specify and computationally demanding to estimate. For many surveillance scenarios we require results in near real-time using routinely available data to guide and direct policy responses, or due to limited availability of computational resources. There are limited software implementations available for this real-time context with reliable predictions and quantification of uncertainty. The rts2 package provides a range of modern Gaussian process approximations and model fitting methods to fit the LGCP, including estimation of covariance parameters, using both Bayesian and stochastic Maximum Likelihood methods. The package provides a suite of data manipulation tools. We also provide a novel implementation to estimate the LGCP when case data are aggregated to an irregular grid such as census tract areas.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2403_09448
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Twenty ways to estimate the Log Gaussian Cox Process model with point and aggregated case data: the rts2 package for R
Watson, Samuel I
Computation
The R package rts2 provides data manipulation and model fitting tools for Log Gaussian Cox Process (LGCP) models. LGCP models are a key method for disease and other types of surveillance, and provide a means of predicting risk across an area of interest based on spatially-referenced and time-stamped case data. However, these models can be difficult to specify and computationally demanding to estimate. For many surveillance scenarios we require results in near real-time using routinely available data to guide and direct policy responses, or due to limited availability of computational resources. There are limited software implementations available for this real-time context with reliable predictions and quantification of uncertainty. The rts2 package provides a range of modern Gaussian process approximations and model fitting methods to fit the LGCP, including estimation of covariance parameters, using both Bayesian and stochastic Maximum Likelihood methods. The package provides a suite of data manipulation tools. We also provide a novel implementation to estimate the LGCP when case data are aggregated to an irregular grid such as census tract areas.
title Twenty ways to estimate the Log Gaussian Cox Process model with point and aggregated case data: the rts2 package for R
topic Computation
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2403.09448