Action Functional as an Early Warning Indicator in the Space of Probability Measures via Schrödinger Bridge

Fuente: arXiv
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Main Authors: Zhang, Peng, Gao, Ting, Guo, Jin, Duan, Jinqiao
Format: Preprint
Published: 2024
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author Zhang, Peng
Gao, Ting
Guo, Jin
Duan, Jinqiao
author_facet Zhang, Peng
Gao, Ting
Guo, Jin
Duan, Jinqiao
contents Critical transitions and tipping phenomena between two meta-stable states in stochastic dynamical systems are a significant scientific issue. In this work, we expand the methodology of identifying the most probable transition pathway between two meta-stable states with Onsager-Machlup action functional, to investigate the evolutionary transition dynamics between two meta-stable invariant sets with Schrödinger bridge. In contrast to existing methodologies such as statistical analysis, bifurcation theory, information theory, statistical physics, topology, and graph theory for early warning indicators, we introduce a novel framework on Early Warning Signals (EWS) within the realm of probability measures that align with the entropy production rate (EPR). To validate our framework, we apply it to the Morris-Lecar model and investigate the transition dynamics between a meta-stable state and a stable invariant set (the limit cycle or homoclinic orbit) under various conditions. Additionally, we analyze real Alzheimer's data from the Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative database to explore EWS indicating the transition from healthy to pre-AD states. This framework not only expands the transition pathway to encompass measures between two specified densities on invariant sets, but also demonstrates the potential of our early warning indicators for complex diseases.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2403_10405
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Action Functional as an Early Warning Indicator in the Space of Probability Measures via Schrödinger Bridge
Zhang, Peng
Gao, Ting
Guo, Jin
Duan, Jinqiao
Dynamical Systems
Critical transitions and tipping phenomena between two meta-stable states in stochastic dynamical systems are a significant scientific issue. In this work, we expand the methodology of identifying the most probable transition pathway between two meta-stable states with Onsager-Machlup action functional, to investigate the evolutionary transition dynamics between two meta-stable invariant sets with Schrödinger bridge. In contrast to existing methodologies such as statistical analysis, bifurcation theory, information theory, statistical physics, topology, and graph theory for early warning indicators, we introduce a novel framework on Early Warning Signals (EWS) within the realm of probability measures that align with the entropy production rate (EPR). To validate our framework, we apply it to the Morris-Lecar model and investigate the transition dynamics between a meta-stable state and a stable invariant set (the limit cycle or homoclinic orbit) under various conditions. Additionally, we analyze real Alzheimer's data from the Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative database to explore EWS indicating the transition from healthy to pre-AD states. This framework not only expands the transition pathway to encompass measures between two specified densities on invariant sets, but also demonstrates the potential of our early warning indicators for complex diseases.
title Action Functional as an Early Warning Indicator in the Space of Probability Measures via Schrödinger Bridge
topic Dynamical Systems
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2403.10405