Safety Cases: How to Justify the Safety of Advanced AI Systems

Fuente: arXiv
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Auteurs principaux: Clymer, Joshua, Gabrieli, Nick, Krueger, David, Larsen, Thomas
Format: Preprint
Publié: 2024
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author Clymer, Joshua
Gabrieli, Nick
Krueger, David
Larsen, Thomas
author_facet Clymer, Joshua
Gabrieli, Nick
Krueger, David
Larsen, Thomas
contents As AI systems become more advanced, companies and regulators will make difficult decisions about whether it is safe to train and deploy them. To prepare for these decisions, we investigate how developers could make a 'safety case,' which is a structured rationale that AI systems are unlikely to cause a catastrophe. We propose a framework for organizing a safety case and discuss four categories of arguments to justify safety: total inability to cause a catastrophe, sufficiently strong control measures, trustworthiness despite capability to cause harm, and -- if AI systems become much more powerful -- deference to credible AI advisors. We evaluate concrete examples of arguments in each category and outline how arguments could be combined to justify that AI systems are safe to deploy.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2403_10462
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Safety Cases: How to Justify the Safety of Advanced AI Systems
Clymer, Joshua
Gabrieli, Nick
Krueger, David
Larsen, Thomas
Computers and Society
Artificial Intelligence
As AI systems become more advanced, companies and regulators will make difficult decisions about whether it is safe to train and deploy them. To prepare for these decisions, we investigate how developers could make a 'safety case,' which is a structured rationale that AI systems are unlikely to cause a catastrophe. We propose a framework for organizing a safety case and discuss four categories of arguments to justify safety: total inability to cause a catastrophe, sufficiently strong control measures, trustworthiness despite capability to cause harm, and -- if AI systems become much more powerful -- deference to credible AI advisors. We evaluate concrete examples of arguments in each category and outline how arguments could be combined to justify that AI systems are safe to deploy.
title Safety Cases: How to Justify the Safety of Advanced AI Systems
topic Computers and Society
Artificial Intelligence
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2403.10462