A Quantile Neural Network Framework for Two-stage Stochastic Optimization

Fuente: arXiv
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Hauptverfasser: Alcántara, Antonio, Ruiz, Carlos, Tsay, Calvin
Format: Preprint
Veröffentlicht: 2024
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author Alcántara, Antonio
Ruiz, Carlos
Tsay, Calvin
author_facet Alcántara, Antonio
Ruiz, Carlos
Tsay, Calvin
contents Two-stage stochastic programming is a popular framework for optimization under uncertainty, where decision variables are split between first-stage decisions, and second-stage (or recourse) decisions, with the latter being adjusted after uncertainty is realized. These problems are often formulated using Sample Average Approximation (SAA), where uncertainty is modeled as a finite set of scenarios, resulting in a large "monolithic" problem, i.e., where the model is repeated for each scenario. The resulting models can be challenging to solve, and several problem-specific decomposition approaches have been proposed. An alternative approach is to approximate the expected second-stage objective value using a surrogate model, which can then be embedded in the first-stage problem to produce good heuristic solutions. In this work, we propose to instead model the distribution of the second-stage objective, specifically using a quantile neural network. Embedding this distributional approximation enables capturing uncertainty and is not limited to expected-value optimization, e.g., the proposed approach enables optimization of the Conditional Value at Risk (CVaR). We discuss optimization formulations for embedding the quantile neural network and demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed framework using several computational case studies including a set of mixed-integer optimization problems.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2403_11707
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle A Quantile Neural Network Framework for Two-stage Stochastic Optimization
Alcántara, Antonio
Ruiz, Carlos
Tsay, Calvin
Optimization and Control
Two-stage stochastic programming is a popular framework for optimization under uncertainty, where decision variables are split between first-stage decisions, and second-stage (or recourse) decisions, with the latter being adjusted after uncertainty is realized. These problems are often formulated using Sample Average Approximation (SAA), where uncertainty is modeled as a finite set of scenarios, resulting in a large "monolithic" problem, i.e., where the model is repeated for each scenario. The resulting models can be challenging to solve, and several problem-specific decomposition approaches have been proposed. An alternative approach is to approximate the expected second-stage objective value using a surrogate model, which can then be embedded in the first-stage problem to produce good heuristic solutions. In this work, we propose to instead model the distribution of the second-stage objective, specifically using a quantile neural network. Embedding this distributional approximation enables capturing uncertainty and is not limited to expected-value optimization, e.g., the proposed approach enables optimization of the Conditional Value at Risk (CVaR). We discuss optimization formulations for embedding the quantile neural network and demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed framework using several computational case studies including a set of mixed-integer optimization problems.
title A Quantile Neural Network Framework for Two-stage Stochastic Optimization
topic Optimization and Control
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2403.11707