Preventing Eviction-Caused Homelessness through ML-Informed Distribution of Rental Assistance

Fuente: arXiv
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Main Authors: Vajiac, Catalina, Frey, Arun, Baumann, Joachim, Smith, Abigail, Amarasinghe, Kasun, Lai, Alice, Rodolfa, Kit, Ghani, Rayid
Format: Preprint
Published: 2024
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author Vajiac, Catalina
Frey, Arun
Baumann, Joachim
Smith, Abigail
Amarasinghe, Kasun
Lai, Alice
Rodolfa, Kit
Ghani, Rayid
author_facet Vajiac, Catalina
Frey, Arun
Baumann, Joachim
Smith, Abigail
Amarasinghe, Kasun
Lai, Alice
Rodolfa, Kit
Ghani, Rayid
contents Rental assistance programs provide individuals with financial assistance to prevent housing instabilities caused by evictions and avert homelessness. Since these programs operate under resource constraints, they must decide who to prioritize. Typically, funding is distributed by a reactive or first-come-first serve allocation process that does not systematically consider risk of future homelessness. We partnered with Allegheny County, PA to explore a proactive allocation approach that prioritizes individuals facing eviction based on their risk of future homelessness. Our ML system that uses state and county administrative data to accurately identify individuals in need of support outperforms simpler prioritization approaches by at least 20% while being fair and equitable across race and gender. Furthermore, our approach would identify 28% of individuals who are overlooked by the current process and end up homeless. Beyond improvements to the rental assistance program in Allegheny County, this study can inform the development of evidence-based decision support tools in similar contexts, including lessons about data needs, model design, evaluation, and field validation.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2403_12599
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Preventing Eviction-Caused Homelessness through ML-Informed Distribution of Rental Assistance
Vajiac, Catalina
Frey, Arun
Baumann, Joachim
Smith, Abigail
Amarasinghe, Kasun
Lai, Alice
Rodolfa, Kit
Ghani, Rayid
Computers and Society
Machine Learning
Rental assistance programs provide individuals with financial assistance to prevent housing instabilities caused by evictions and avert homelessness. Since these programs operate under resource constraints, they must decide who to prioritize. Typically, funding is distributed by a reactive or first-come-first serve allocation process that does not systematically consider risk of future homelessness. We partnered with Allegheny County, PA to explore a proactive allocation approach that prioritizes individuals facing eviction based on their risk of future homelessness. Our ML system that uses state and county administrative data to accurately identify individuals in need of support outperforms simpler prioritization approaches by at least 20% while being fair and equitable across race and gender. Furthermore, our approach would identify 28% of individuals who are overlooked by the current process and end up homeless. Beyond improvements to the rental assistance program in Allegheny County, this study can inform the development of evidence-based decision support tools in similar contexts, including lessons about data needs, model design, evaluation, and field validation.
title Preventing Eviction-Caused Homelessness through ML-Informed Distribution of Rental Assistance
topic Computers and Society
Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2403.12599