Dynamic Survival Analysis for Early Event Prediction

Fuente: arXiv
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Autores principales: Yèche, Hugo, Burger, Manuel, Veshchezerova, Dinara, Rätsch, Gunnar
Formato: Preprint
Publicado: 2024
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author Yèche, Hugo
Burger, Manuel
Veshchezerova, Dinara
Rätsch, Gunnar
author_facet Yèche, Hugo
Burger, Manuel
Veshchezerova, Dinara
Rätsch, Gunnar
contents This study advances Early Event Prediction (EEP) in healthcare through Dynamic Survival Analysis (DSA), offering a novel approach by integrating risk localization into alarm policies to enhance clinical event metrics. By adapting and evaluating DSA models against traditional EEP benchmarks, our research demonstrates their ability to match EEP models on a time-step level and significantly improve event-level metrics through a new alarm prioritization scheme (up to 11% AuPRC difference). This approach represents a significant step forward in predictive healthcare, providing a more nuanced and actionable framework for early event prediction and management.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2403_12818
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Dynamic Survival Analysis for Early Event Prediction
Yèche, Hugo
Burger, Manuel
Veshchezerova, Dinara
Rätsch, Gunnar
Machine Learning
This study advances Early Event Prediction (EEP) in healthcare through Dynamic Survival Analysis (DSA), offering a novel approach by integrating risk localization into alarm policies to enhance clinical event metrics. By adapting and evaluating DSA models against traditional EEP benchmarks, our research demonstrates their ability to match EEP models on a time-step level and significantly improve event-level metrics through a new alarm prioritization scheme (up to 11% AuPRC difference). This approach represents a significant step forward in predictive healthcare, providing a more nuanced and actionable framework for early event prediction and management.
title Dynamic Survival Analysis for Early Event Prediction
topic Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2403.12818