Two-dimensional inference of divertor plasma characteristics: advancements to a multi-instrument Bayesian analysis system

Fuente: arXiv
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Hauptverfasser: Greenhouse, Daniel, Bowman, Chris, Lipschultz, Bruce, Verhaegh, Kevin, Harrison, James, Fil, Alexandre
Format: Preprint
Veröffentlicht: 2024
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author Greenhouse, Daniel
Bowman, Chris
Lipschultz, Bruce
Verhaegh, Kevin
Harrison, James
Fil, Alexandre
author_facet Greenhouse, Daniel
Bowman, Chris
Lipschultz, Bruce
Verhaegh, Kevin
Harrison, James
Fil, Alexandre
contents An integrated data analysis system based on Bayesian inference has been developed for application to data from multiple diagnostics over the two-dimensional cross-section of tokamak divertors. Tests of the divertor multi-instrument Bayesian analysis system (D-MIBAS) on a synthetic data set (including realistic experimental uncertainties) generated from SOLPS-ITER predictions of the MAST-U divertor have been performed. The resulting inference was within 6\%, 5\% and 30\% median absolute percentage error of the SOLPS-predicted electron temperature, electron density and neutral atomic hydrogen density, respectively, across a two-dimensional poloidal cross-section of the MAST-U Super-X outer divertor. To accommodate molecular contributions to Balmer emission, an advanced emission model has been developed which is shown to be crucial for inference accuracy. Our D-MIBAS system utilises a mesh aligned to poloidal magnetic flux-surfaces, throughout the divertor, with plasma parameters assigned to each mesh vertex and collectively considered in the inference. This allowed comprehensive forward models to multiple diagnostics and the inclusion of expected physics. This is shown to be important for inference precision when including molecular contributions to Balmer emission. These developments pave the way for accurate two-dimensional electron temperature, electron density and neutral atomic hydrogen density inferences for MAST-U divertor experimental data for the first time.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2403_12819
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Two-dimensional inference of divertor plasma characteristics: advancements to a multi-instrument Bayesian analysis system
Greenhouse, Daniel
Bowman, Chris
Lipschultz, Bruce
Verhaegh, Kevin
Harrison, James
Fil, Alexandre
Plasma Physics
An integrated data analysis system based on Bayesian inference has been developed for application to data from multiple diagnostics over the two-dimensional cross-section of tokamak divertors. Tests of the divertor multi-instrument Bayesian analysis system (D-MIBAS) on a synthetic data set (including realistic experimental uncertainties) generated from SOLPS-ITER predictions of the MAST-U divertor have been performed. The resulting inference was within 6\%, 5\% and 30\% median absolute percentage error of the SOLPS-predicted electron temperature, electron density and neutral atomic hydrogen density, respectively, across a two-dimensional poloidal cross-section of the MAST-U Super-X outer divertor. To accommodate molecular contributions to Balmer emission, an advanced emission model has been developed which is shown to be crucial for inference accuracy. Our D-MIBAS system utilises a mesh aligned to poloidal magnetic flux-surfaces, throughout the divertor, with plasma parameters assigned to each mesh vertex and collectively considered in the inference. This allowed comprehensive forward models to multiple diagnostics and the inclusion of expected physics. This is shown to be important for inference precision when including molecular contributions to Balmer emission. These developments pave the way for accurate two-dimensional electron temperature, electron density and neutral atomic hydrogen density inferences for MAST-U divertor experimental data for the first time.
title Two-dimensional inference of divertor plasma characteristics: advancements to a multi-instrument Bayesian analysis system
topic Plasma Physics
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2403.12819